TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Under63c98,525$61,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,640.347545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over37c24,539$9,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,201.9910146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Over37c24,250$8,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,972.621435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over37c20,636$7,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,635.2316955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Over37c6,280$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.715230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over37c5,883$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.6718641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over37c3,926$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.371,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Over38c3,659$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.281546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under58c3,449$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.6815265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Over37c3,175$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.853951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over39c2,700$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.421,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c2,202$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.692,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under63c2,000$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.9876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…3badbacked Under70c1,773$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.351258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over27c1,684$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.782,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over37c1,470$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.7617042.4%72 W · 98 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over38c1,458$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.132,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over23c1,418$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4939344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under63c1,413$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.145662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over37c1,287$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0226750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under65c1,211$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3127044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over30c1,124$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.43,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over33c988.63$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2515448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Under63c776.03$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.136750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Over37c772.36$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.776953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over42c749$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.587152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Under67c731.49$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over37c721.65$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.01875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under69c712.85$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.231338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under60c684.6$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over38c673.04$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9838147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over8c635.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.322429.2%7 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick10cpaid+81.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over37c635.05$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.979038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over37c557.11$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1353849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under64c546.38$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1424749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over36c499.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over38c499$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed Over37c490.73$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+87.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c485.92$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under63c484.29$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.642133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Over37c477.25$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5870%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over24c466.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.361,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Under55c449.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4910650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over26c433.9$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7629533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Under76c417.44$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under68c397.36$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.629231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under62c360$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under66c359.45$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5814151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…8ddabacked Under62c340.44$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.371070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Over30c316.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.961353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over34c314.17$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under62c313.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over25c312.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.111435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Over34c312.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.736448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b39…65adbacked Under63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.851154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over36c304.9$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.781,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Under57c291.74$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.582759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over38c267$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9614551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over37c257.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9312536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c244.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.881,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over38c240.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.477149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Under75c210$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over37c199.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5441050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over33c199.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1212045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c195$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under72c175.39$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.492454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6d…45ffbacked Under64c148.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under64c148.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6813860.9%84 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under64c146.33$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.259145.1%41 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over42c146.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4333647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over42c146.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4333251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Over28c135.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Under75c131.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8310367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over37c127.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0810346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under63c119.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.135754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Over17c118.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.191741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under59c111.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.912142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over22c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7221355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5b…efbebacked Under62c106.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1712150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under64c102.43$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8769653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Under57c100.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.364252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa0…dcfcbacked Over37c99.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef77…f853backed Over37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9389…da3abacked Under64c89.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…022cbacked Over38c89.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under63c84.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.243452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over29c81.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.882353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb354…0b3bbacked Under63c81.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+77%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Over38c77.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.272441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under69c75.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.428340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over37c75.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.649851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over30c72.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7817456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5db…b42dbacked Under75c68.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick76cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over37c65.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.063043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over46c63.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0210444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over37c62.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.148844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under76c62.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.