CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ef5f0113f4631e96bd84eae3454e547025e46d734ec3d38cf6919d8f49b947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof Lavked, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed QUAZAR | 26c | 2,737$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.65 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed QUAZAR | 36c | 2,692$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.22 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 65c | 1,973$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.26 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 73c | 1,591$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 59c | 918.15$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed QUAZAR | 31c | 612.43$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.43 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked QUAZAR | 27c | 548.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed QUAZAR | 48c | 454.24$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.05 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lavked | 76c | 417.1$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Lavked | 58c | 341.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 54c | 334.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked Lavked | 71c | 304.5$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked QUAZAR | 31c | 300$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed QUAZAR | 27c | 296.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Lavked | 80c | 290$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed QUAZAR | 31c | 271.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked QUAZAR | 8c | 258.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.94 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Lavked | 59c | 228.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…f2cebacked Lavked | 73c | 208$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed QUAZAR | 27c | 183.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…c4b4backed QUAZAR | 27c | 183$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked QUAZAR | 27c | 166.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Lavked | 40c | 162.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Lavked | 75c | 146.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked QUAZAR | 27c | 138.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked | 73c | 130.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed QUAZAR | 27c | 104.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 19c | 103.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed QUAZAR | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Lavked | 56c | 98.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Lavked | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed QUAZAR | 30c | 93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d7…0227backed QUAZAR | 27c | 91.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked QUAZAR | 27c | 90.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Lavked | 77c | 88.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…e8bfbacked QUAZAR | 27c | 86.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed QUAZAR | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked QUAZAR | 27c | 77.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed QUAZAR | 44c | 76.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked QUAZAR | 32c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked QUAZAR | 59c | 57.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Lavked | 35c | 57.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lavked | 80c | 48.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Lavked | 56c | 43.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed QUAZAR | 43c | 34.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lavked | 74c | 17.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Lavked | 72c | 16.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs QUAZAR - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)QUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.