Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d2bb131fb5b57d6a884046b99e7feb69faee8f34d9bf1b896875ff2480f9a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8681…ef99backed VP.Prodigy | 14c | 5,114$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.96 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 57c | 4,788$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.93 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 2,900$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 1win | 49c | 2,771$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.12 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked VP.Prodigy | 1c | 2,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win | 73c | 2,586$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.83 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 1win | 54c | 2,346$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.64 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed VP.Prodigy | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +127%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 1,900$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.95 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 74c | 1,802$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 1,790$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.11 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 15c | 1,717$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.61 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 1,515$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.09 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 71c | 1,363$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.55 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 1,210$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.64 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked VP.Prodigy | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 1,115$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.31 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 1,079$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.62 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…1ca2backed 1win | 80c | 1,021$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 38c | 1,003$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.42 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked VP.Prodigy | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 984.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked VP.Prodigy | 51c | 974.31$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.21 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed VP.Prodigy | 13c | 952.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed VP.Prodigy | 1c | 950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 857.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy | 54c | 845.96$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 772.93$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1win | 70c | 746.98$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 736$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 725.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 47c | 651.74$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.04 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 646.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 609.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed VP.Prodigy | 8c | 549.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 507.11$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.8 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -17.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed 1win | 28c | 483.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.26 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 480.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…a7b3backed 1win | 49c | 474.25$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed VP.Prodigy | 18c | 472.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked VP.Prodigy | 48c | 469.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 459.94$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.59 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…4e20backed VP.Prodigy | 68c | 445$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 439.1$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed VP.Prodigy | 9c | 435$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 414.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…8cc6backed 1win | 48c | 405.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked VP.Prodigy | 56c | 403.35$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 396.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 390.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed 1win | 75c | 387.19$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 63c | 385.34$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed VP.Prodigy | 8c | 384$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed 1win | 65c | 379.7$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 372.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked VP.Prodigy | 32c | 372.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 363.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 356.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 53c | 354.28$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed 1win | 51c | 336.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed VP.Prodigy | 59c | 331.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 1win | 63c | 307.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked VP.Prodigy | 32c | 302.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 205 | 38.5%79 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed 1win | 72c | 299.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 297.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 290.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 284.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed 1win | 70c | 272.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked VP.Prodigy | 58c | 266.59$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed VP.Prodigy | 12c | 261.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed VP.Prodigy | 12c | 245$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed VP.Prodigy | 12c | 245$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked 1win | 59c | 242.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked 1win | 71c | 236.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed VP.Prodigy | 9c | 233$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 215.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 212.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked VP.Prodigy | 40c | 204.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked VP.Prodigy | 14c | 203.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed VP.Prodigy | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked 1win | 49c | 199.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed 1win | 48c | 196.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 194.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed VP.Prodigy | 8c | 192$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed VP.Prodigy | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed 1win | 76c | 175.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked VP.Prodigy | 19c | 174.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 164.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 164.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed 1win | 60c | 161.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 149.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed 1win | 69c | 145.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked VP.Prodigy | 48c | 144.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked VP.Prodigy | 29c | 137$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 135.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked VP.Prodigy | 70c | 128.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1win | 65c | 126.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Athis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.