TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof Pcific Esports, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d3e…79b7backed Pcific Esports0c14,101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Pcific Esports26c5,013$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Pcific Esports27c3,661$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.1765559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Pcific Esports23c2,601$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.1321558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic76c2,536$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.7594361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Pcific Esports25c2,500$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.8153159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Fnatic61c2,225$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.939844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Fnatic75c1,846$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.1732047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Fnatic54c1,727$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.8314152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic72c1,510$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4893248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Pcific Esports26c1,474$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.1836138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Fnatic75c1,303$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2131153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Pcific Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fnatic79c963.7$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.381,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Fnatic77c896.49$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.343450%17 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Fnatic46c631.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.764055%22 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Pcific Esports46c607.81$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.176648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Fnatic50c597.52$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.726051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Fnatic50c557$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.53342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Pcific Esports12c534.21$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2535431.1%110 W · 244 L-29.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Pcific Esports37c534.02$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5910455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Fnatic72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Fnatic51c485.34$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1922455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Fnatic58c403.37$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4114645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fnatic67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13261035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Fnatic79c365.72$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9630147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fnatic74c303.84$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.041,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Pcific Esports51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15314447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Pcific Esports20c289.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.883537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaa4…865cbacked Fnatic69c284.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.664654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pcific Esports11c281.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Pcific Esports22c275.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5829151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fnatic46c272.2$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9945033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pcific Esports24c269.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Fnatic42c264.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3125046.4%116 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Pcific Esports30c258.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.392166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Pcific Esports37c251.23$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7621240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Fnatic59c249.26$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Pcific Esports41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4623151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Fnatic79c225.7$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.681855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f07…b30ebacked Fnatic49c224.86$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.772548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Pcific Esports24c221.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1421055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Pcific Esports13c218.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4319134.6%66 W · 125 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fnatic43c210.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.841,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Fnatic53c202.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.49041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Fnatic79c197.48$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.476852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Fnatic56c193.3$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7617448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed Fnatic48c190.3$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.013951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Fnatic49c185.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6422452.7%118 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Pcific Esports27c185.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.748050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Fnatic59c175.5$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.669859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Fnatic62c166.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.045952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Pcific Esports21c153$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1926730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Pcific Esports27c144.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.734065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Pcific Esports27c132.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0737…fe78backed Fnatic77c129.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.491540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pcific Esports29c122.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3557517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fnatic53c122.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1921048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Pcific Esports26c108.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4815512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Pcific Esports49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4710552.4%55 W · 50 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Pcific Esports50c96.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.518254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0f…8175backed Fnatic72c96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.516453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Fnatic59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8963056.3%355 W · 275 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Pcific Esports13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.016924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Fnatic70c75.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.485538.2%21 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Fnatic64c73.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6215642.3%66 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Fnatic57c73.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8926436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Fnatic49c73.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081f…d5c0backed Fnatic76c73.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Pcific Esports36c72.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.963828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked Pcific Esports29c67.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.511952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fnatic62c67.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.466638%253 W · 413 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…007bbacked Fnatic49c67.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f21…653cbacked Fnatic49c65.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.94353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Fnatic68c63.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.452638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Fnatic46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0814747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f2…ee56backed Fnatic56c62.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.174254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Pcific Esports21c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Fnatic54c54.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.197759.7%46 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20db…d953backed Fnatic49c49.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Fnatic62c47.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.28366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Pcific Esports37c47.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.575651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed Pcific Esports28c45.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.664060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5f…b005backed Fnatic49c45.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked Fnatic73c40.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.049965.7%65 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fnatic56c39.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2434954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fnatic75c39.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.671,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442c…f1cbbacked Fnatic49c37.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf6…2117backed Pcific Esports45c34.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.471540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa357…ec9abacked Fnatic49c33.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd5…84c4backed Fnatic76c32.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.942564%16 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed Fnatic49c29.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.122254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9f…ab5abacked Fnatic56c27.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.332564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed Fnatic49c27.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x694d…3b89backed Fnatic69c27.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4963…e0a5backed Fnatic60c27.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked Fnatic66c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.188151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked Fnatic49c26.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Pcific Esports47c25.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8520248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa656…fc5ebacked Fnatic79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252070%14 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+52.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.