Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce0c0181db3f2ce7ed43a6e68352858c60171a4d27912f96a9ab55187dcf1eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Pcific Esports, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Pcific Esports | 3c | 2,899$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Pcific Esports | 19c | 1,515$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.44 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Pcific Esports | 19c | 975.7$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Pcific Esports | 19c | 724.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pcific Esports | 19c | 621.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Pcific Esports | 19c | 490.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Pcific Esports | 25c | 477.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pcific Esports | 19c | 408.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Pcific Esports | 11c | 386.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Fnatic | 80c | 349.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pcific Esports | 5c | 347.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Pcific Esports | 18c | 330.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Pcific Esports | 5c | 304.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fnatic | 75c | 230.75$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Pcific Esports | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…dd0abacked Pcific Esports | 14c | 197.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Pcific Esports | 19c | 85.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fnatic | 80c | 61.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Pcific Esports | 19c | 55.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf039…508fbacked Fnatic | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…fc5ebacked Fnatic | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…58dcbacked Fnatic | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.