TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b6b…58dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
16
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$6.55
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$28.11
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$24.31
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.