Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f23835658898ee57e8b9461caa6eab0b0564b9fd90bd88d85eb173833662441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Mates GCof Gentle Mates GC, G2 Gozen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b10…9659backed G2 Gozen | 42c | 496.43$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 270.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Gentle Mates GC | 52c | 141.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…58dcbacked G2 Gozen | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 131.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked G2 Gozen | 53c | 100.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates GC | 46c | 99.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates GC | 38c | 98.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…9ef4backed Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked G2 Gozen | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed Gentle Mates GC | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates GC | 34c | 58.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Gentle Mates GC | 50c | 54.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed G2 Gozen | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…f5edbacked G2 Gozen | 50c | 39.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…5ec9backed Gentle Mates GC | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed Gentle Mates GC | 54c | 36.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…b34dbacked G2 Gozen | 55c | 30.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed G2 Gozen | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0290…e1bcbacked Gentle Mates GC | 66c | 22.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.