Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dfd2dcb632a1a65e97846545e9cf0f197de93785a481748964d1300cc98507e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, Pcific Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481d…9098backed Fnatic | 60c | 3,241$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pcific Esports | 40c | 3,047$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.92 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Pcific Esports | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.98 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Pcific Esports | 39c | 1,484$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.87 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Fnatic | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Pcific Esports | 40c | 915.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Pcific Esports | 38c | 909.05$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.44 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fnatic | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Fnatic | 61c | 521.92$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Fnatic | 61c | 502.58$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Pcific Esports | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Fnatic | 61c | 479.91$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.92 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Fnatic | 62c | 389.28$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Pcific Esports | 38c | 337.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Fnatic | 61c | 323.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Fnatic | 61c | 314.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Fnatic | 62c | 293.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Fnatic | 61c | 288.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Fnatic | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Fnatic | 61c | 224.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Fnatic | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pcific Esports | 40c | 129.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Fnatic | 59c | 109.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Fnatic | 62c | 108.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…2538backed Pcific Esports | 41c | 105.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Pcific Esports | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Pcific Esports | 45c | 87.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Pcific Esports | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Fnatic | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Fnatic | 62c | 49.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Pcific Esports | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…3b89backed Fnatic | 62c | 46.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Fnatic | 61c | 43.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Fnatic | 62c | 41.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pcific Esports | 40c | 40.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Fnatic | 62c | 34.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Fnatic | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Pcific Esports | 44c | 29.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Fnatic | 62c | 28.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Pcific Esports | 44c | 26.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pcific Esports | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Fnatic | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…6944backed Fnatic | 61c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Fnatic | 60c | 19.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.