TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof KT Rolster, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Nongshim Red Force61c39,838$24,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,254.1896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Nongshim Red Force61c29,477$18,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,125.2437245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked KT Rolster39c26,756$10,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,320.8766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed KT Rolster39c22,201$8,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,557.738235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Nongshim Red Force63c20,439$12,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,812.4467056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed KT Rolster37c11,078$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,010.691,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Nongshim Red Force62c10,018$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,210.861,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Nongshim Red Force62c8,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96012850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed KT Rolster38c7,274$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.8564443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed KT Rolster38c6,574$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,046.12642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed KT Rolster38c5,808$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.22,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked KT Rolster38c5,472$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.851225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed KT Rolster39c5,163$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.641,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58ce…f916backed KT Rolster38c5,061$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.078041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed KT Rolster39c4,487$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.925545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nongshim Red Force59c4,127$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.6570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Nongshim Red Force1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+195%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Nongshim Red Force61c3,717$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.0215543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked KT Rolster37c3,110$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.32142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked KT Rolster40c2,971$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5111655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed Nongshim Red Force62c2,590$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.695139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f3…110abacked KT Rolster40c2,272$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.711275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed KT Rolster39c2,247$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.581,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nongshim Red Force60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed KT Rolster41c1,842$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.8937641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Nongshim Red Force61c1,700$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03732145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed KT Rolster38c1,579$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.987736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Nongshim Red Force64c1,532$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.328852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Nongshim Red Force63c1,493$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.42,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Nongshim Red Force63c1,422$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.8216352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nongshim Red Force61c1,400$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.91,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed KT Rolster38c1,396$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.5615431.8%49 W · 105 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked KT Rolster38c1,321$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81912347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked KT Rolster34c1,130$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.62,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked KT Rolster38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.1221844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed KT Rolster38c1,021$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.0743640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed KT Rolster40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60044335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed KT Rolster41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed KT Rolster44c979.67$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.2439447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed KT Rolster40c966.25$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.6724359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Nongshim Red Force63c861.4$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.6828852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed KT Rolster37c837.46$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.66826.5%18 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Nongshim Red Force58c800.89$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.1311244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed KT Rolster38c757.57$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.695034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Nongshim Red Force60c754.71$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8321154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked KT Rolster43c591.87$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5138850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed KT Rolster38c510.28$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.389938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Nongshim Red Force59c507.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed KT Rolster38c506.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1839541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Nongshim Red Force59c504.28$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5344042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed KT Rolster41c499.71$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.839230.4%28 W · 64 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed KT Rolster41c494.06$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.516346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Nongshim Red Force20c477.18$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4410749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked KT Rolster41c470.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6221559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nongshim Red Force63c470.24$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.822,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Nongshim Red Force63c465.62$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.343056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed KT Rolster41c385.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed KT Rolster42c385.34$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1511645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed KT Rolster38c377.7$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.178641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed Nongshim Red Force57c340.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8818236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed KT Rolster38c336.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1912839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Nongshim Red Force59c328$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1412642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed KT Rolster38c311.64$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2224235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nongshim Red Force57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17160538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed KT Rolster37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18921147.9%101 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim Red Force60c284.67$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.82,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ba…0acfbacked KT Rolster40c273$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.81010%1 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Nongshim Red Force60c260.27$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1627050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed KT Rolster43c259.26$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.649643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed KT Rolster38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0992342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed KT Rolster32c248.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.754847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a2…3b2fbacked Nongshim Red Force60c244.1$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.465922%13 W · 46 L-9.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Nongshim Red Force52c215.72$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8517136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Nongshim Red Force51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.11,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed KT Rolster43c205.2$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.818640.7%35 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked KT Rolster49c203.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8220535.1%72 W · 133 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed KT Rolster41c201.56$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9232939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed KT Rolster37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Nongshim Red Force60c195.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1286758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…16e6backed KT Rolster39c192.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5311852.5%62 W · 56 L-0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Nongshim Red Force28c182.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.591,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked KT Rolster46c168.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Nongshim Red Force60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.649346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a9…c9a5backed KT Rolster41c162.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.522040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b3…de25backed Nongshim Red Force60c158.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.877341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed KT Rolster40c144.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7620153.7%108 W · 93 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked KT Rolster30c138.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7227548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Nongshim Red Force61c129.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.481,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked KT Rolster40c123.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5321859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Nongshim Red Force64c122.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8741544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked KT Rolster38c121.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1833139.9%132 W · 199 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed KT Rolster41c116.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.642227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Nongshim Red Force35c111.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.876230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Nongshim Red Force62c109.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4221140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked KT Rolster38c105.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.661,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f21…653cbacked KT Rolster41c103.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.78737.9%33 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nongshim Red Force28c102.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.291,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed KT Rolster40c101.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29546.3%44 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed Nongshim Red Force62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed KT Rolster42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.985648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.