Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14abed9a0c32637698774673bc96ca439701b4b03aba9d2a5a99616c981e520b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Over | 45c | 2,161$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.84 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…40cabacked Under | 63c | 1,413$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.09 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 34c | 694.7$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 54c | 624.26$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 56c | 585.89$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.41 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Under | 56c | 524.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.27 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 485.7$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 39c | 459.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.34 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 399.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 42c | 349$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 46c | 333.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Over | 33c | 270$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…b580backed Over | 46c | 251.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 54c | 232.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Under | 61c | 204.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 54c | 161.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 56c | 159.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 135.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…fc7fbacked Over | 46c | 130.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 46c | 124.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Over | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 119$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 13c | 100.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…39f7backed Over | 45c | 94.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 31c | 71.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 18c | 70.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…ccabbacked Over | 46c | 65.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b1aebacked Over | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 60c | 50.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 35c | 49.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Over | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 38c | 46.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 56c | 28.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7f16backed Under | 54c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…6b1fbacked Under | 55c | 25.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.