TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.G Global Academyof T1 Academy, Gen.G Global Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed Gen.G Global Academy36c10,218$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,489.2454751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked T1 Academy62c9,198$5,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.1478162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b37…1f70backed T1 Academy65c3,953$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.8211159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea5…76d4backed Gen.G Global Academy39c2,223$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gen.G Global Academy38c2,211$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.1315850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Gen.G Global Academy35c2,100$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36541734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked T1 Academy64c2,006$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.752552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Gen.G Global Academy37c1,660$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.5913642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x723d…7f91backed T1 Academy62c1,576$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Gen.G Global Academy31c1,531$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.3115145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Gen.G Global Academy35c1,513$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.153129%9 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed T1 Academy1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked T1 Academy56c1,363$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.727749.4%38 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Gen.G Global Academy38c1,293$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.2921257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked T1 Academy61c1,205$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.5361035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked T1 Academy62c1,169$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked T1 Academy1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Gen.G Global Academy38c818.91$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.9423447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Gen.G Global Academy35c789.94$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.4610844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked T1 Academy61c714.52$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.2734847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7da…6bd4backed T1 Academy62c649.93$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed T1 Academy59c502.4$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8710551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked T1 Academy61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30586747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed T1 Academy62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31020840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gen.G Global Academy34c476.49$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8788844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Gen.G Global Academy40c395.5$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.33036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid0%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…5b98backed T1 Academy13c388$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed T1 Academy63c370.38$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.896339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Gen.G Global Academy41c347.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1728247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked T1 Academy63c328.54$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.984959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked T1 Academy64c304.28$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.741957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked T1 Academy64c304.28$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.742356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked T1 Academy77c292.37$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.131,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf868…3b45backed Gen.G Global Academy45c290.1$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.561330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked T1 Academy65c286.12$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.966863.2%43 W · 25 L+10.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gen.G Global Academy37c265.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.981,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Gen.G Global Academy37c260$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.836648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed T1 Academy58c253.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476051.7%31 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed T1 Academy64c247.13$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9623847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked T1 Academy63c246.78$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.472560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Gen.G Global Academy41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8115343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed T1 Academy63c234.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.841154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed T1 Academy40c230.4$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Gen.G Global Academy45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.192951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked T1 Academy64c214.27$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.133540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Gen.G Global Academy39c196.26$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.726053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Gen.G Global Academy38c195.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.355343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed T1 Academy57c189.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5326730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Gen.G Global Academy37c169.28$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked T1 Academy64c168.28$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.711248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked T1 Academy54c160$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.954438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed T1 Academy54c160$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.953444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed T1 Academy54c160$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.952846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Gen.G Global Academy35c154$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.123055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed T1 Academy57c142$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2413035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked T1 Academy63c141.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.327953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Gen.G Global Academy38c138.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.857352.1%38 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed T1 Academy54c134$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.835646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed T1 Academy39c133.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed Gen.G Global Academy38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed T1 Academy64c123.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.911454.4%62 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed T1 Academy56c113.81$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.865738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Gen.G Global Academy35c109.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.211533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed T1 Academy63c105.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.723167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Gen.G Global Academy46c100.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked T1 Academy56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5625745.9%118 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed T1 Academy63c97.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.618952.4%99 W · 90 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed T1 Academy59c95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.151546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed T1 Academy63c91.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.911957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Gen.G Global Academy39c86.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8954439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Gen.G Global Academy39c85.06$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked Gen.G Global Academy23c84.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.925561.8%34 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked T1 Academy52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.69133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed T1 Academy63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Gen.G Global Academy39c79.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7963652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed T1 Academy64c78.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked T1 Academy68c72.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.035162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked T1 Academy52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.361735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed T1 Academy63c67.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.56756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed T1 Academy64c62.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.087163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked T1 Academy54c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.66924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked T1 Academy51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.125639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked T1 Academy55c56.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8715754.1%85 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed Gen.G Global Academy37c52.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.777948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d8…b421backed T1 Academy76c50.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed T1 Academy63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Gen.G Global Academy33c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4415642.3%66 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed Gen.G Global Academy39c48.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.382744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed T1 Academy61c48.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.326354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Gen.G Global Academy41c47.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.767152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed T1 Academy59c44.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1623733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked T1 Academy48c43.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6640254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Gen.G Global Academy80c41.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.245248.1%25 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked T1 Academy62c39.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.527142.3%30 W · 41 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2405…57afbacked T1 Academy77c38.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Gen.G Global Academy39c37.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.592846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed T1 Academy63c34.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.564362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed T1 Academy64c32.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.669354.8%51 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Gen.G Global Academy45c31.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.439845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked T1 Academy62c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.546357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.