TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Power Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x22a6…8fb7backed Power Rangers55c8,967$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy64c5,154$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.4971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers26c2,447$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.791,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Nigma Galaxy62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7609749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Power Rangers30c1,955$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6613228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy79c1,443$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7451049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Power Rangers38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.455457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy67c1,197$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.3932652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Nigma Galaxy75c1,110$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0114157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Power Rangers49c1,107$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4961745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy65c1,093$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0236851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed Power Rangers35c1,069$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.419533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Nigma Galaxy67c1,057$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.332857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe491…ccd1backed Nigma Galaxy67c962.5$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.62650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy70c904.67$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.436759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy74c811.36$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0530356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Nigma Galaxy67c754.07$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9318362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers36c744.67$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy70c710$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21350769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy49c642.8$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Power Rangers22c640.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7455147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Power Rangers32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Nigma Galaxy32c535$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.352657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Power Rangers40c529.51$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4938855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Power Rangers33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16541055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21533541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Nigma Galaxy27c475.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.59045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Power Rangers42c400$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1691,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Nigma Galaxy28c375$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4222552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy66c371.89$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.018746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Nigma Galaxy57c355.86$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.674065%26 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Nigma Galaxy60c342.76$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8314251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Nigma Galaxy28c330$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8812651.6%65 W · 61 L+14.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Nigma Galaxy31c300$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20616250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy60c292.04$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Nigma Galaxy46c285$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.355048%24 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Power Rangers48c282.44$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8516550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Nigma Galaxy46c269.64$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.63844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Power Rangers40c249.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6940644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Power Rangers46c239.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6642145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Nigma Galaxy40c233.37$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.910735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers55c231.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.586659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Power Rangers41c221.86$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9614849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Power Rangers37c208.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2911549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nigma Galaxy29c205$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5535032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Power Rangers22c204$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.269033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Power Rangers44c196.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9433549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Power Rangers50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy62c190.5$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7830647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab27…0c65backed Power Rangers48c184.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.693562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy63c179.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.921,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Power Rangers36c165.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7129240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Nigma Galaxy28c165$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4421748.8%106 W · 111 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Nigma Galaxy28c165$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4425351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy70c161.24$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8629347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy62c160.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4520858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed Nigma Galaxy64c158.85$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1930460.2%183 W · 121 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Power Rangers24c155.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2524138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Power Rangers40c154.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7165441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Power Rangers37c152.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1411450%57 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Nigma Galaxy31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10316453.7%88 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy63c147.12$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.042,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Power Rangers37c143.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6529350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy70c141.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4477458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Nigma Galaxy23c133$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1618248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Power Rangers38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.445052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53d7…0bd8backed Power Rangers38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.142951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Power Rangers40c111.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.955349.1%26 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers17c103.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5053634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…c05fbacked Nigma Galaxy75c99.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2516932.5%55 W · 114 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Power Rangers46c98.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.18251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Nigma Galaxy65c98.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.135948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Nigma Galaxy74c94.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.568132.1%26 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x163f…c4b4backed Power Rangers42c91.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Power Rangers32c88.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1824137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Nigma Galaxy28c86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.541952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Nigma Galaxy28c85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5320448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Power Rangers35c82.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0272637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Nigma Galaxy46c81.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8925547.8%122 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Nigma Galaxy41c76.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3225253.2%134 W · 118 L+20.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908b…247cbacked Power Rangers36c72.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.828254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked Power Rangers38c68.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy73c68.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4857654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaca…51d1backed Nigma Galaxy70c61.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.526266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers41c58.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.841,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c46…84ccbacked Power Rangers40c55.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.573661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Power Rangers37c55.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.610649.1%52 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd49…515dbacked Power Rangers38c55.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.089555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0989938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy64c52.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0652649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.946150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Power Rangers34c48.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3326956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Power Rangers37c45.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.039251.1%47 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked Nigma Galaxy68c42.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552070%14 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy71c41.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7711150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Nigma Galaxy73c39.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6520954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy60c39.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Power Rangers34c35.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0740534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.