TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Power Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers43c10,084$4,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,314.532,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Power Rangers48c5,047$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.0171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Nigma Galaxy64c3,423$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.1947650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Power Rangers28c3,384$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.7237832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Power Rangers4c3,112$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8311742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers37c2,929$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.7367043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers52c2,308$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.862,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Nigma Galaxy65c2,036$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.229749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers34c2,027$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.981,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy67c1,779$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.411,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy73c1,671$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.5738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Nigma Galaxy51c1,527$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.7615946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy67c1,459$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7861745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Nigma Galaxy46c1,374$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.5214157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers28c1,356$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.341,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy60c1,292$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.0999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Power Rangers38c1,192$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8113228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy65c1,188$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0832652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Power Rangers40c1,091$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Power Rangers38c873.59$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.297142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy59c824.35$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1350769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Nigma Galaxy61c810.69$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.599158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Power Rangers47c773.12$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Power Rangers41c753.03$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6323653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy67c723.39$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3751049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Power Rangers47c718.92$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7119242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Nigma Galaxy38c675.5$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6517454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Power Rangers41c647.72$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9530647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Power Rangers40c613.14$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.262630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers35c576.42$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8669835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Nigma Galaxy61c576.23$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.214332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Power Rangers34c561.36$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1153844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers48c559.76$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.011,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Power Rangers38c540.63$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9379341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy62c537.46$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2341055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Nigma Galaxy61c537.35$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1516248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Power Rangers39c503.22$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2265441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Power Rangers38c497.25$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.061,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Power Rangers58c484.99$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.1362841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Power Rangers64c471.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7786949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Nigma Galaxy76c465.84$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.734065%26 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Power Rangers39c461.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1637945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Power Rangers39c461.38$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.945740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Power Rangers61c460.45$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5419664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers40c447.83$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.131,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Power Rangers39c444.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8517373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Nigma Galaxy54c442.48$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3616945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy47c417.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7651550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Nigma Galaxy66c388.86$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8515051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Power Rangers25c384.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.585735.1%20 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Power Rangers52c370.73$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2935461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Power Rangers40c362.38$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1517330.1%52 W · 121 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Nigma Galaxy65c351.58$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0533867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Nigma Galaxy58c343.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7310735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Nigma Galaxy58c327.33$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.86949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nigma Galaxy58c316.66$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.587954.4%43 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Power Rangers57c315.93$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9577458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Nigma Galaxy58c293.41$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2317353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Power Rangers23c278.19$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1569033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Power Rangers42c270.26$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5136851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Power Rangers44c266.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.472857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Nigma Galaxy58c251$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.712759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Nigma Galaxy59c244.32$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.596245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy50c242.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Power Rangers41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4620452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Nigma Galaxy53c234.28$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1524131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…6bdcbacked Power Rangers60c233.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy64c229.42$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6629347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Power Rangers63c217.27$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7841244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Nigma Galaxy58c214$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8819552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Nigma Galaxy70c206.13$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.553844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d1…272fbacked Power Rangers60c203.79$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Nigma Galaxy53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9420043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Power Rangers20c199.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9240644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Nigma Galaxy46c199.16$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9129350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy43c198.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1111150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy48c192.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.532,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Power Rangers31c192.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8123555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Power Rangers43c190.05$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0314652.1%76 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy63c189.11$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.821,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Power Rangers29c185.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1330534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Power Rangers40c185.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2361057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Power Rangers42c183.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2246049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Power Rangers22c162.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Power Rangers36c160.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3420858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed Nigma Galaxy61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Power Rangers35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Power Rangers30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy64c159.75$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.186659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy61c150.11$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5852649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers51c139.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8691356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nigma Galaxy61c139.18$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0764547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Nigma Galaxy59c124.06$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9158152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Power Rangers41c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.613259.8%79 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4927…0f32backed Power Rangers21c114.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy62c110.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5136759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Power Rangers35c109.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4441037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Nigma Galaxy15c108.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.415131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Power Rangers38c107.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8350032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Nigma Galaxy59c104.8$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.364759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.