Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed0e54c12f1dc3b82ca11ee3afaec3701b4ee628b084ec3b9ef2c7487ffb07e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Nigma Galaxy, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,435$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.74 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 2,347$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.29 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,996$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.65 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Power Rangers | 41c | 1,621$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.56 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Power Rangers | 43c | 1,603$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 59c | 1,061$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 928.89$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 819$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Power Rangers | 67c | 710.3$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 707.77$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Power Rangers | 56c | 695.86$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.43 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 664.91$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers | 47c | 621.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 535.26$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 381.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Power Rangers | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Power Rangers | 43c | 322.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 290.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 268.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 219.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 215.45$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Power Rangers | 47c | 207.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 186.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 177.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 152.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 132$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Power Rangers | 58c | 121.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Power Rangers | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 108.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Power Rangers | 50c | 106.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 100.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Power Rangers | 40c | 99.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 96.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Power Rangers | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 92.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 87.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 83.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 76.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Power Rangers | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Power Rangers | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Power Rangers | 43c | 67.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 53.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Power Rangers | 50c | 48.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 62c | 46.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Power Rangers | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Power Rangers | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 41.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Power Rangers | 58c | 41.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…9482backed Power Rangers | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Power Rangers | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 39.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…0fe5backed Power Rangers | 59c | 39.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Power Rangers | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Power Rangers | 57c | 38.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 35.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Power Rangers | 41c | 35.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Power Rangers | 47c | 35.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Power Rangers | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Power Rangers | 61c | 28.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Power Rangers | 68c | 28.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Power Rangers | 57c | 25.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Power Rangers | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Power Rangers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…0f32backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.