TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FULL SENSEof FULL SENSE, ZETA DIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked FULL SENSE67c1,639$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked ZETA DIVISION32c1,174$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8426738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed ZETA DIVISION43c489.51$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FULL SENSE54c437.92$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.941,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed ZETA DIVISION7c364.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.916418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed ZETA DIVISION21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6322018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FULL SENSE66c249.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8553442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed ZETA DIVISION49c217.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.775952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed FULL SENSE69c199.12$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7311559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed ZETA DIVISION33c191.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.323644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ZETA DIVISION34c186.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.351,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed FULL SENSE60c180.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2243059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FULL SENSE64c169.78$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.311,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FULL SENSE63c153.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.231,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked ZETA DIVISION33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.525444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked ZETA DIVISION41c132.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.652748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed FULL SENSE68c115.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.437545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed FULL SENSE69c106.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2217448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…f4a7backed ZETA DIVISION50c94.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked FULL SENSE69c90.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9321048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d15…556cbacked FULL SENSE64c75.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af0…7696backed ZETA DIVISION34c72.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.584146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked FULL SENSE69c58.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.923951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed FULL SENSE59c49.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0326354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FULL SENSE76c48.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed ZETA DIVISION46c46.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.453951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed ZETA DIVISION31c46.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked ZETA DIVISION33c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.157252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe8…3ed4backed ZETA DIVISION50c37.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed ZETA DIVISION34c34.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8727847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked ZETA DIVISION33c33.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.096053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b9…ad06backed ZETA DIVISION44c28.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.687254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed FULL SENSE70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.427759.7%46 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9f…ab5abacked ZETA DIVISION46c27.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.692564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FULL SENSE67c26.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7524946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed FULL SENSE50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.523146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…b30ebacked ZETA DIVISION50c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.772548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed ZETA DIVISION50c23.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.583946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked ZETA DIVISION48c21.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3122352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked ZETA DIVISION50c20.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.323647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked FULL SENSE66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.814152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FULL SENSE66c15.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4431634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c5d…d5dfbacked FULL SENSE68c15.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.896355.6%35 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.