TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dignitasof Dignitas, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01e6…e7e0backed Dignitas21c15,120$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,973.1648149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Dignitas21c10,442$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,250.1367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked LYON12c9,998$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.461,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dignitas16c9,519$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,996.341,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec0…50bdbacked LYON0c6,771$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked LYON79c5,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.9925447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON47c3,925$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LYON49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.0263546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Dignitas35c3,703$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.0932150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LYON42c3,638$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.671,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Dignitas77c3,450$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.3313752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LYON51c3,285$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.911,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LYON40c2,715$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.491,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked LYON53c2,119$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.066759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Dignitas30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dignitas25c1,947$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Dignitas20c1,926$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.011,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed LYON26c1,664$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.3945618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON79c1,656$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.241,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LYON31c1,570$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.023,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Dignitas66c1,523$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.8325952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Dignitas35c1,453$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.6635431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Dignitas23c1,400$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0761,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Dignitas57c1,371$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.4511653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked LYON76c1,282$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.174247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas49c1,143$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.991,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Dignitas17c1,118$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8417228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed LYON62c1,106$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.5742148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dignitas50c1,095$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.0273237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked LYON48c1,020$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49126245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dignitas51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas21c976.3$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.283,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Dignitas51c963.65$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.1976142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Dignitas51c930$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Dignitas70c794.57$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0923649.2%116 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Dignitas20c750$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96dd…ff8ebacked Dignitas20c750$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Dignitas25c744.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.3826443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Dignitas53c729.26$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.3839447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a8…c4f2backed LYON69c704.2$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.522055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Dignitas68c686.64$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1933251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON76c665.08$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.811,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON8c642.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.752,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Dignitas17c628.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.681,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Dignitas68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LYON71c564.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7385442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Dignitas54c508.55$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3811645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee0…ae41backed LYON63c502.17$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.247664.5%49 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Dignitas69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15583560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LYON45c475.89$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1286251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LYON13c447.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.941,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed LYON73c441.64$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0930661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dignitas24c439.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.722,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed LYON62c415.82$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0342847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Dignitas35c414.68$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2320756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Dignitas53c409.15$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2453355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed LYON20c404$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.411,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed LYON75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed LYON31c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229738.1%37 W · 60 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON75c394$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.51,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Dignitas54c387.98$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1756341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Dignitas54c382.84$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3738850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed LYON37c382.56$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6221134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Dignitas25c382$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.51,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed LYON12c378.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.474761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dignitas57c376.9$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.061,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Dignitas22c334.66$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0354246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed LYON73c326.83$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2946153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked LYON80c318.41$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7348652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Dignitas46c309.42$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.77558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed LYON11c303.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4237548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Dignitas17c294.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.491,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed LYON33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9815062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Dignitas28c287.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0862743.9%275 W · 352 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed LYON41c275.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1657349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked Dignitas53c271.13$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4319745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed LYON24c265.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6199338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed Dignitas54c261.83$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.449643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed LYON23c245.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.471,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Dignitas69c242.01$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.081,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Dignitas48c239.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.641,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked LYON66c235.36$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6817057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked LYON40c209.39$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6135146.2%162 W · 189 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LYON65c209.24$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.851,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed LYON25c207.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.251,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed LYON46c206.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8174344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ed…7103backed LYON73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed LYON50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9730155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed LYON56c189.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9633737.7%127 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed LYON16c186.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Dignitas53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1841945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed Dignitas73c176.72$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.416058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON78c173.27$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.521,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Dignitas23c162.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7550647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9f…ab5abacked Dignitas54c161.44$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.265328.3%15 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LYON75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.52,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed LYON79c149.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.945547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5441…cb00backed Dignitas27c146.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.652623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked LYON13c142.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9646154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed LYON48c140.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8240959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.