TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dignitasof LYON, Dignitas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked LYON70c27,886$19,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,511.7267056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas32c15,842$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,781.161,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Dignitas30c15,657$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,959.751,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Dignitas30c15,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked LYON69c14,125$9,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,816.9966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked LYON70c10,744$7,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,521.061,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dignitas30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80070456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Dignitas30c3,845$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.7434837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON66c3,008$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.0991854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON69c2,944$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.52,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Dignitas30c2,281$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.7210648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Dignitas30c1,724$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.0830050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed LYON70c1,677$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.461,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dignitas28c1,658$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.031,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Dignitas32c1,243$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.9826443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON71c1,200$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.831,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked LYON70c888$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.61,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Dignitas30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56032150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LYON69c799.93$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.961,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LYON70c785.6$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9286251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Dignitas39c597.93$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.378967.4%60 W · 29 L+13.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked LYON69c578.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.525447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed LYON63c499.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31539447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ec…fddabacked Dignitas31c383.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed LYON70c350.71$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.579151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Dignitas30c334$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.811443%49 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x64d9…4bb0backed Dignitas31c322.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.246953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Dignitas30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5327050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dignitas55c299.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.962,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed LYON68c288.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1615062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Dignitas31c239.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3612349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ac…0317backed LYON71c226.27$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.145058%29 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…8dccbacked Dignitas31c220.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.054528.9%13 W · 32 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked LYON71c213.14$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9450956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked LYON71c195.67$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2638850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Dignitas32c191.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4516555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed LYON70c189.65$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5665063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked LYON70c176.76$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7312047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Dignitas34c170$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.282044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked LYON66c166.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9156341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Dignitas33c161.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.228644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Dignitas31c154.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6847434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Dignitas30c151.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9260849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed Dignitas30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Dignitas33c144.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.043537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked LYON70c142.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6711127.9%31 W · 80 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed LYON70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.242847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dignitas35c119.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Dignitas33c116.34$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.956352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Dignitas31c114.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9521140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed LYON69c111.94$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2454246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Dignitas33c111.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.065745.6%26 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed LYON43c99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.051,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Dignitas35c98.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2528638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked Dignitas54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5616668.7%114 W · 52 L+22.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Dignitas67c96.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3917840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed LYON70c84.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9253753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Dignitas30c82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.45644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed LYON33c81.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.994847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Dignitas35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.47558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d345backed Dignitas35c76.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.974542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x089b…c619backed Dignitas32c74.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9623643.6%103 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Dignitas27c73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2933124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Dignitas27c68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6442124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LYON32c67.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.472,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed Dignitas32c64.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.117244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b46…05fabacked Dignitas30c64.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.973348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Dignitas36c63.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7728553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Dignitas31c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.628559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a10…6e92backed Dignitas32c59.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.774052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed LYON71c52.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3479864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb1…c96ebacked LYON26c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4b3…6b11backed Dignitas32c44.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.533360.6%20 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+68.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed LYON69c40.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1520454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc667…0359backed LYON61c39.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Dignitas31c38.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4636244.2%160 W · 202 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked LYON33c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8841651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed LYON71c34.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5734960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Dignitas37c31.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6618342.1%77 W · 106 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed LYON70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121054.8%115 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed LYON40c26.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7521953%116 W · 103 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked LYON70c25.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6782161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Dignitas70c25.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.65646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed LYON60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbe…1b08backed LYON70c16.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a5…10bcbacked LYON70c14.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.