Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8928a342b5e15a7a8cc0d56d6afa0cdfc80cefb925df4ec95090c6e1e282cec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 76c | 2,994$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.31 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 32c | 1,731$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.71 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 24c | 1,722$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.54 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 25c | 1,395$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.99 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 77c | 827.42$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 75c | 555$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 18c | 495.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 494.34$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.17 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 70c | 469.86$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.02 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Over | 76c | 353.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Over | 76c | 342.13$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 76c | 223.21$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 24c | 148.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 74c | 103.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 28c | 103$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Over | 24c | 101.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 20c | 101.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 25c | 100.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 17c | 86.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 68c | 72.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 70c | 59.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 42c | 39.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 76c | 32.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Dignitas won
- LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerDignitas won
- LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.