CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb359f66224e51538fc091a9cb9f970629b7811256558bdc9648d35a43774125c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof TDK, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,864 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 43c | 4,085$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.76 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 49c | 3,689$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.61 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked TDK | 52c | 2,953$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.98 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 44c | 2,752$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.62 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ursa | 28c | 2,602$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.25 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed TDK | 73c | 2,290$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.51 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 31c | 2,241$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.62 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaf…449dbacked TDK | 74c | 1,980$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked TDK | 62c | 1,933$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.14 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed TDK | 68c | 1,503$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.51 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed TDK | 49c | 1,341$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.65 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed TDK | 58c | 1,241$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.77 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked TDK | 69c | 1,157$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…ecdbbacked Ursa | 19c | 1,068$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +118%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TDK | 51c | 990.65$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.42 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ursa | 42c | 950.14$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.9 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed TDK | 50c | 941.06$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.53 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 32c | 671.6$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.5 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Ursa | 27c | 640.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.26 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed TDK | 57c | 602.23$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.09 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed Ursa | 19c | 520$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed TDK | 69c | 506.08$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed TDK | 65c | 499.55$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TDK | 50c | 490$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Ursa | 33c | 484.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.73 | 548 | 39.8%218 W · 330 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed TDK | 52c | 480.81$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.87 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TDK | 62c | 460.95$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.54 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed TDK | 62c | 460.38$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 44c | 456.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Ursa | 53c | 403.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Ursa | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Ursa | 38c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TDK | 44c | 396$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Ursa | 52c | 342.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…18d6backed TDK | 72c | 339.73$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Ursa | 23c | 322.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed TDK | 45c | 312.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Ursa | 47c | 312.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed TDK | 67c | 300.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed TDK | 44c | 296.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ursa | 30c | 289.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Ursa | 37c | 272.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Ursa | 49c | 244.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Ursa | 54c | 238.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked TDK | 52c | 228.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ursa | 37c | 217.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa | 45c | 211.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed TDK | 77c | 208.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Ursa | 26c | 202.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked TDK | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ursa | 30c | 190.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Ursa | 30c | 178.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked TDK | 52c | 177$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed TDK | 62c | 172.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TDK | 47c | 163.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ursa | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed TDK | 42c | 161$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked TDK | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ursa | 27c | 154.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked TDK | 52c | 154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TDK | 51c | 152$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed TDK | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Ursa | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed TDK | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Ursa | 48c | 140.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed TDK | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ursa | 45c | 127.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116e…f26fbacked Ursa | 20c | 125.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Ursa | 60c | 119.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Ursa | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Ursa | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked TDK | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ursa | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed TDK | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…f932backed TDK | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked TDK | 69c | 96.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…40d1backed Ursa | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TDK | 34c | 91.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed TDK | 37c | 89.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed TDK | 51c | 85.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed TDK | 54c | 82.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…01f7backed TDK | 71c | 80.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Ursa | 31c | 80.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed TDK | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Ursa | 34c | 73.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked TDK | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed TDK | 62c | 71.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed TDK | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…18e3backed TDK | 49c | 65.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TDK | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ursa | 36c | 57.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Ursa | 38c | 56.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Ursa | 44c | 49.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…34a7backed TDK | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Ursa | 31c | 46.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ursa | 32c | 45.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Ursa | 53c | 45.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked TDK | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Ursa | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…f249backed TDK | 50c | 41.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.