TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KRÜ Esportsof Sentinels, KRÜ Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c45…0ac6backed Sentinels28c20,633$5,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Sentinels50c19,999$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.728955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed KRÜ Esports43c15,769$6,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,988.554751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3522…188fbacked Sentinels57c11,414$6,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.433342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed KRÜ Esports72c10,458$7,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.351643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b37…1f70backed Sentinels23c5,571$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.2211159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sentinels17c5,520$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.3845033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7150…0a2bbacked Sentinels57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Sentinels44c3,706$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.7933346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…dd32backed Sentinels47c3,276$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed KRÜ Esports47c3,241$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.073141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sentinels56c3,000$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67516952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed KRÜ Esports59c2,960$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.3653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sentinels57c2,833$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.8215850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked KRÜ Esports48c2,704$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.578162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports53c2,641$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.6468458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed KRÜ Esports53c2,635$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.3413345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Sentinels52c2,389$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.615431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed KRÜ Esports59c2,356$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.526050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports50c2,201$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.765559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed KRÜ Esports50c1,941$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.4410946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Esports64c1,931$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.3494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels28c1,894$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.141,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed KRÜ Esports78c1,842$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6721558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed Sentinels22c1,794$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.42250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Sentinels23c1,793$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.112544%11 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-35.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed KRÜ Esports64c1,683$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.5130147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed KRÜ Esports43c1,662$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.383764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed KRÜ Esports73c1,617$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed KRÜ Esports65c1,551$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.6856357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed KRÜ Esports49c1,501$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.4839042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Sentinels52c1,500$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.6428541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed KRÜ Esports62c1,490$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.53444.1%15 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Sentinels50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed KRÜ Esports72c1,462$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9570251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked KRÜ Esports48c1,356$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.9619157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked KRÜ Esports46c1,344$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…b2b5backed KRÜ Esports76c1,322$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Sentinels51c1,305$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.6932141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Sentinels33c1,170$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.167051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Sentinels46c1,143$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.024544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed KRÜ Esports70c1,069$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.823447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked KRÜ Esports50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Sentinels54c999.93$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Sentinels51c997.71$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.837550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Sentinels51c980.36$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9811255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed KRÜ Esports50c969.83$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7115553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6209…4dadbacked Sentinels52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked KRÜ Esports54c889.74$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.388950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked KRÜ Esports44c879.83$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7161035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed KRÜ Esports73c839.49$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.661369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed KRÜ Esports46c823.64$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.2615942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Sentinels16c820.26$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.041952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Sentinels53c818.56$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.091747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked KRÜ Esports60c776.54$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Sentinels51c743.74$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.317342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed KRÜ Esports50c734.08$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Sentinels51c729.33$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.963537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Sentinels25c725.21$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.771931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Sentinels21c661.48$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1436138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Sentinels51c614.5$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5128747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Sentinels53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31886747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked KRÜ Esports50c600$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29825444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Sentinels51c586.17$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked KRÜ Esports49c586.16$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9411854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed KRÜ Esports51c584.21$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6125555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Sentinels50c554.28$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.145728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Sentinels35c541.3$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6134739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1019…d7cabacked KRÜ Esports49c533.49$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Sentinels55c512.65$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9126051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed KRÜ Esports55c501.68$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7728247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Sentinels50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6eb…8761backed Sentinels53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Sentinels22c499.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Sentinels51c499.84$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9217349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed KRÜ Esports50c470.94$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5122047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed KRÜ Esports48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked KRÜ Esports45c427.84$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.419148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Sentinels50c420.7$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.69845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Sentinels53c417.37$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3725556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed KRÜ Esports52c403.31$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.818966.3%59 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa903…bcd2backed KRÜ Esports49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.792263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6265…c6c1backed Sentinels52c392.22$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked KRÜ Esports43c374.85$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7136648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Sentinels55c373.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.594450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Sentinels57c365.56$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.325666.1%37 W · 19 L+11.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+97.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Sentinels31c363.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.91136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Sentinels39c349.88$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Sentinels28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6810863%68 W · 40 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Sentinels55c339.94$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4522352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed KRÜ Esports50c335.62$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8142840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed KRÜ Esports67c328.25$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9454342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed KRÜ Esports48c327.9$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.514557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Sentinels26c315.43$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Sentinels44c308.46$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.621741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef9…d6e9backed Sentinels50c308.02$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.241838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Sentinels47c293.09$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.482828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked KRÜ Esports49c283.06$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.364959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed KRÜ Esports79c281.46$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed KRÜ Esports44c268.06$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.