Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5d7c17a13b6835ef5d028f2c4d931fac16204a656a19e8e69af46dfd070193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Esportsof Sentinels, KRÜ Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed KRÜ Esports | 52c | 34,000$17,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,319.99 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Sentinels | 48c | 32,639$15,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,666.57 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sentinels | 36c | 3,623$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.46 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…a4e2backed Sentinels | 39c | 3,410$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Esports | 76c | 3,180$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.06 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed KRÜ Esports | 60c | 2,987$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.27 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed KRÜ Esports | 71c | 1,853$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.34 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Sentinels | 31c | 1,724$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.43 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked KRÜ Esports | 64c | 1,249$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.64 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed KRÜ Esports | 70c | 1,244$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.67 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Sentinels | 6c | 951.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports | 74c | 935.67$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.85 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Sentinels | 44c | 877.07$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.76 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports | 65c | 731.58$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Sentinels | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Sentinels | 41c | 612.14$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sentinels | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Sentinels | 25c | 579$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed KRÜ Esports | 73c | 573.87$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed KRÜ Esports | 68c | 550$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked KRÜ Esports | 53c | 420.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Sentinels | 36c | 341.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Sentinels | 46c | 338.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Sentinels | 17c | 313.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 47c | 256.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sentinels | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels | 47c | 226.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Sentinels | 44c | 189.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Sentinels | 38c | 128.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sentinels | 16c | 122.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sentinels | 51c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Sentinels | 14c | 92.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Sentinels | 38c | 70.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sentinels | 17c | 69.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Sentinels | 36c | 61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed Sentinels | 45c | 60.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sentinels | 48c | 55.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed KRÜ Esports | 67c | 44.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed KRÜ Esports | 56c | 43.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked KRÜ Esports | 67c | 42.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…8562backed Sentinels | 29c | 40.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…4cb5backed KRÜ Esports | 73c | 40.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed KRÜ Esports | 57c | 39.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Sentinels | 38c | 37.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed KRÜ Esports | 67c | 34.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked KRÜ Esports | 50c | 33.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Sentinels | 45c | 32.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Sentinels | 48c | 29.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Sentinels | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed KRÜ Esports | 54c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed KRÜ Esports | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked KRÜ Esports | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.