TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Knicks, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$740,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$739,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies54c275,580$148,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,790.9172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks46c232,532$106,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,964.6943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks46c65,633$30,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,167.731,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Knicks52c60,265$31,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,070.0811457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Knicks55c58,465$32,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,094.642060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies52c58,136$29,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,167.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Grizzlies51c28,477$14,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,917.325655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Grizzlies50c17,764$8,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,829.0422453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Grizzlies53c14,647$7,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,884.182240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks51c12,227$6,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,261.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks52c11,877$6,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,182.392,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies49c11,814$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,025.181,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies48c11,566$5,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,960.021,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed Grizzlies52c11,426$5,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,484.573554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Knicks49c10,098$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,94859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Grizzlies48c9,688$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,037.7649244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies50c9,428$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Grizzlies53c8,141$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.1315952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Grizzlies54c7,080$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.561,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Knicks46c6,430$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.682250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Grizzlies49c5,745$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.0516346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks49c5,526$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Grizzlies52c5,500$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Grizzlies54c5,344$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks47c5,287$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.143,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies48c4,792$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies41c4,152$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.432,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Grizzlies47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12012945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Grizzlies48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.9816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Knicks34c3,099$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.741,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies52c3,029$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.951,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Grizzlies55c2,896$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.3458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Grizzlies53c2,779$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.6571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies53c2,764$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks48c2,712$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.981,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Grizzlies52c2,700$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2962157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies53c2,653$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.011,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies50c2,549$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks46c2,425$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Grizzlies51c2,241$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.9522948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies51c2,178$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.211,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks46c2,122$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.352,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks48c2,059$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Knicks49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Grizzlies52c1,845$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.7387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Grizzlies49c1,750$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Knicks48c1,744$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.1120051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies33c1,516$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.6883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Knicks1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Grizzlies50c1,360$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.11,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies49c1,359$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.152,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Knicks51c1,159$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.357444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Grizzlies52c1,051$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.1324247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Grizzlies48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7718748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Grizzlies50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Grizzlies51c999.78$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Grizzlies52c990.24$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Grizzlies55c987.34$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.6218648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies50c896.48$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Knicks50c835.6$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3431046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Knicks49c805$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Grizzlies23c798.4$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.6618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Grizzlies55c748.47$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Grizzlies49c675.67$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.5914049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Grizzlies50c634.56$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9210745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Grizzlies49c615.57$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.949845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Grizzlies52c595.32$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8abd…29a8backed Knicks72c545.79$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.29366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Grizzlies52c528.2$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Grizzlies53c519.91$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3626553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…52b6backed Knicks71c502.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.069848%47 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies50c495$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.519957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Grizzlies49c492.46$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Grizzlies53c488.37$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.531637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Grizzlies53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3765762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Grizzlies54c468.86$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.685463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Knicks48c462.12$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.8271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Grizzlies31c454.39$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6631151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Grizzlies51c445.33$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2126755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Knicks49c440$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks49c436.23$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks49c418.55$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Grizzlies50c408.7$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.353847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks5c394.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies52c387.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.851,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Knicks52c382.51$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4411145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Grizzlies51c380.62$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.514243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Knicks48c380.43$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.657751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Knicks50c372.48$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.246858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Knicks50c354.15$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Grizzlies50c342.22$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.831,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Grizzlies49c308.27$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2213148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Grizzlies49c308.27$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2213352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies54c294.94$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.672,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Grizzlies51c294.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1210854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Knicks50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.