TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,347$4,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,673.31,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over45c7,518$3,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,135.1512450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c6,183$3,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,426.272,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c4,998$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under56c4,894$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.6421350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa7…cac8backed Under54c4,019$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick51cpaid-76%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c3,936$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under52c2,988$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.924269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c2,866$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.352,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c2,642$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.821,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over75c2,463$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.984042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over46c1,811$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.8817850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over42c1,529$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.331046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under51c1,430$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.9124247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c1,429$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.343,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over46c1,311$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.9916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c946.62$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under58c840.34$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.48859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over47c826$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7518748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under53c789.62$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.526149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c700$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.31,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c502.46$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under48c489.48$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under55c486.5$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under54c483.43$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over46c455.74$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c445.52$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.281,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c445.52$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.281,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c443.21$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under22c404.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1518235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c400$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over44c394.5$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c322.47$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.231,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under58c315.21$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8218345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under27c286.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.272,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Under52c278.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.721758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c267.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.941,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe328…bbb3backed Over49c263.48$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under42c256.11$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over46c255.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9413148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under54c216.7$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6823446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over46c209.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.28646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Under52c203.89$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0523435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9368…483fbacked Under22c199.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.051040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under9c197.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9744345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over46c192.66$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0416450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under50c192.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c192.13$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over46c191.42$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3614445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under52c186.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.124057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd74…8afebacked Under51c181.73$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x109f…1c5bbacked Under51c180.88$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over46c154.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.618744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over46c152.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5628852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over46c136.73$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8320247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over43c135.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Over46c126.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.455160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over44c125.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under54c119.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.662,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over50c116.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.211354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over46c114.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under53c110.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3114444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over46c103.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17a9…c488backed Over46c101.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over73c98.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.561,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over46c86.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.520249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c84.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.11,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over58c82.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.535250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over59c80.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9757550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over48c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over50c73.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8616245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over50c73.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8636153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Over46c72.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.197856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over43c67.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.72,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over46c64.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0338751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under20c62.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1716046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over46c61.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9724841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under19c60.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c60.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.071,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under21c57.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c54.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.721,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over46c54.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.989445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over46c52.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.226842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over43c51.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Over46c49.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.929346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under27c48.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.991,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c44.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4755444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over79c43.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.135463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under57c43.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.621,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Over46c43.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2422746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over51c41.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under55c41.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.