TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Conviction
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f30…3aeebacked Conviction70c1,431$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Maryville University39c1,357$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.961,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Maryville University39c1,243$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.4532542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Maryville University67c906.03$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9927353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Maryville University43c667.55$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1458420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Maryville University42c628.92$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.3630247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4091…3d09backed Maryville University21c621$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.613943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6f…6311backed Conviction57c595.53$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Maryville University41c564.44$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.221,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Conviction49c524.28$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8960053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Conviction45c485.12$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21737633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Conviction43c462.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Maryville University43c449.36$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7480832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Conviction57c441.38$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3286251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Conviction38c400.77$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5969756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Conviction52c372.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.612,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Conviction55c359.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19856650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Maryville University35c343.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4212934.9%45 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Conviction60c332.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Maryville University53c312.54$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.539447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Conviction55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16531643%136 W · 180 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f4…3421backed Maryville University43c295.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.346033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Maryville University39c292.91$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1513357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Maryville University33c282.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.981,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maryville University40c277.87$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.882,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8384…1af4backed Conviction62c240.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Conviction60c235.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2670057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Maryville University45c222.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6474344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Maryville University52c213.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.468549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Maryville University39c201.8$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8725764.2%165 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Conviction56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11256341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Maryville University45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.552718.5%5 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-68.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Maryville University43c186.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.059131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Conviction68c182.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.562,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Maryville University56c180.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.141,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Conviction40c172.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6418542.2%78 W · 107 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Conviction59c165$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.354768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Conviction60c160.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.111,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Conviction61c159.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0759952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked Maryville University66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5218159.1%107 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Conviction53c151.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1374250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0657…3a78backed Maryville University54c150.65$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5522256.3%125 W · 97 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f20…f339backed Maryville University20c148.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.84650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Maryville University41c130$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.22,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Conviction57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.414846.6%69 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Maryville University45c114.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0551247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Maryville University45c106.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3350549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Maryville University43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5760538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Conviction43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Maryville University44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5686649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Conviction56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5644129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Conviction22c99.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2234743.5%151 W · 196 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Maryville University44c98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.881,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…fffbbacked Maryville University31c97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Conviction52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Maryville University51c92.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.765263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Conviction50c89.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0916043.1%69 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Conviction56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Conviction57c87.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Conviction54c82.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81fc…f616backed Conviction75c76.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.981266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Conviction50c74.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5819948.2%96 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Maryville University38c74.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4814052.9%74 W · 66 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked Conviction66c69.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.165851.7%30 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc874…54a3backed Conviction31c67.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Maryville University51c66.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2339940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Maryville University62c62.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.951,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Conviction18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.856317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Maryville University43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.211959.7%71 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1098…10a7backed Conviction70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick77cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Conviction58c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.869556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Maryville University54c56.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7744843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Maryville University25c54.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.541118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid+21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Maryville University57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6361849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Maryville University78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Maryville University20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Conviction31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.557222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Maryville University42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Conviction58c46.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.316025%15 W · 45 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Maryville University54c46.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4513239.4%52 W · 80 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x899d…bc53backed Maryville University29c41.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Conviction54c40.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9844743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Conviction62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.844062.7%276 W · 164 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Maryville University44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.415359.5%91 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Conviction69c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.464143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef82…e218backed Maryville University32c37.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Maryville University30c37.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7910346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…80b6backed Maryville University55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Conviction56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.166848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x053e…1e27backed Maryville University54c35.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Maryville University32c31.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3224356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa3f…233cbacked Maryville University53c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.877347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Conviction65c30.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a74…6631backed Conviction60c30.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed Conviction57c30.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.419257.8%111 W · 81 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Conviction57c30.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1374849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Conviction76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x152b…9430backed Conviction58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Conviction48c29.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.272733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a39…fa93backed Conviction57c29.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.