NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8178fab0f7b81dbebfc83739a2e829dc4a4240f29a0b1ff27f5f09dc1d4b753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 29,751$14,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,917.57 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 51c | 24,853$12,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,559.16 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 14,887$7,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,145.96 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 8,730$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 6,674$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.31 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 5,783$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.97 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 1,257$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.98 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 53c | 821.02$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.88 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 46c | 711.11$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.11 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 612.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.26 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over | 54c | 559.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 459.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.39 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 421.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 19c | 369.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 28c | 242.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 25c | 198.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Under | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 175.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 51c | 165.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…5d8fbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 56c | 67.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 57.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Over | 60c | 49.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 49.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 49c | 49.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 679 | 49.8%338 W · 341 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…3fb1backed Under | 36c | 48.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 46.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 41.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e0b2backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…b3f0backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb02…edb1backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Over | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…2b7bbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.