NBA · resolved market
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b2e92acf373fdbd2884d06e9f32172d42a621e603ebd2fab212a7b1b58e933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 39c | 1,910$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.37 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 61c | 1,606$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.47 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes | 58c | 1,398$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.38 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 42c | 1,039$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.11 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…7db5backed Yes | 61c | 638.05$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 54c | 510.92$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.9 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 39c | 468.12$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e9…3614backed Yes | 57c | 413.08$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.46 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 40c | 321.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 43c | 284.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 56c | 258.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 46c | 251.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 44c | 203.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked No | 46c | 189.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 38c | 164.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed No | 46c | 138.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 42c | 122.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…a345backed Yes | 62c | 102.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 44c | 101.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87e…606dbacked Yes | 61c | 100.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Yes | 56c | 99.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked No | 44c | 81.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 59c | 78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…7132backed No | 43c | 76.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…20ffbacked Yes | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 40c | 65.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 40c | 64.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 41c | 59.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…e882backed Yes | 59c | 58.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ce…a3f0backed Yes | 58c | 57.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked No | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 41c | 43.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 45c | 41.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -11.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…a56fbacked Yes | 62c | 39.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed No | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad7…ae7ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed No | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked No | 41c | 30.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 44c | 29.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…300ebacked Yes | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…3c4fbacked Yes | 58c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…d88abacked Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.