NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22900c6c9621904452d8b06442909e1e1acfd00e2026fc68f4938cb813e22362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 129,976$67,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,256.34 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…b67fbacked Over | 50c | 97,255$49,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,058.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Over | 51c | 62,026$31,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,621.74 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 50c | 39,502$19,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,751.24 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 34,280$17,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,613.38 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 31,522$15,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,311.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 28,206$13,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,367.3 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 48c | 28,160$13,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,643.26 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 49c | 24,164$11,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,323.85 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 49c | 21,149$10,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,786.27 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 19,991$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,995.29 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 49c | 17,647$8,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,988.84 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 49c | 15,979$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,149.19 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 48c | 11,906$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,191.17 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 11,683$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,074.93 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…b614backed Under | 49c | 10,030$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 9,688$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.76 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Over | 47c | 8,483$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.43 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 51c | 8,387$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.49 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…c267backed Under | 49c | 8,295$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 6,331$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.7 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 48c | 6,055$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.6 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 5,813$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.66 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Over | 34c | 5,673$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 5,539$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.11 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.99 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 4,946$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.42 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 48c | 4,039$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…7be3backed Under | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 49c | 3,828$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.15 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 49c | 3,773$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.26 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 3,397$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.58 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 3,397$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.4 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Under | 52c | 2,777$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.7 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 2,547$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 2,402$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 49c | 1,919$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.7 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 1,916$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.88 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…8c21backed Over | 52c | 1,874$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 48c | 1,817$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.58 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 1,788$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.01 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,735$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 48c | 1,671$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.54 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 1,387$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.17 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 1,331$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.15 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,319$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.67 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,276$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 53c | 1,183$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.79 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 1,163$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.13 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 1,163$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.13 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 1,086$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.86 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 49c | 1,041$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.96 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 986.05$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.75 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Over | 51c | 950.86$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.94 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 12c | 906.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 894.85$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 810.07$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…54c1backed Under | 49c | 785.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…77edbacked Under | 49c | 785.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…676bbacked Under | 49c | 785.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 775.53$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.42 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 48c | 712.89$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.7 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 48c | 690.75$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 56c | 630.12$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.43 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 627.42$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 50c | 621.14$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.57 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 612.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 52c | 603.12$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Over | 51c | 576$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 536.94$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Over | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…5d2cbacked Under | 49c | 478.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 33c | 475.19$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…dc67backed Over | 51c | 470.87$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 50c | 436.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 45c | 429.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 417.69$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e2bcbacked Over | 51c | 399.66$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ba67backed Under | 50c | 397.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 45c | 394.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.61 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 381.68$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…15a8backed Over | 50c | 378.03$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…1923backed Under | 48c | 375.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.