TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,190 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6204…0b06backed Over47c13,058$6,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,184.284134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Under51c4,900$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4014445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c4,883$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.3532846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over49c4,755$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.94546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c3,076$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.241,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.921,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c2,565$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under44c2,300$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.9889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c1,977$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd456…aba4backed Over53c1,908$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over52c1,496$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.954047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68627246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under42c1,343$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.9720744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over49c1,322$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.3962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d6…b6e8backed Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under54c1,088$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4914355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over49c999.24$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6335744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under51c977.22$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6717052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Over53c918.51$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.876058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Over50c916.52$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.512552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c837.85$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c578.25$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.341,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b1…8396backed Under54c509.29$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under52c480.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4313835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c476.33$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.271,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over47c455.26$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9715543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dc…e2f6backed Under54c380.46$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c9…33c3backed Over49c376.03$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c307.47$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.781,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under53c292.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c245.55$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under50c239.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.531,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55e…ddbdbacked Over50c238.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3760%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c223.86$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Under48c200.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.949642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.943033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9731151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over50c187.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8440541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over50c174.6$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.37350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c161.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.022,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over57c158.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.771,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Over48c149.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.996132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under54c145.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.15246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Under53c145.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5195848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c145.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c138.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0737665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c134.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0043…a525backed Under52c123.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.587047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over50c118.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c104.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.673,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under53c102.35$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.941,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-19.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d72…6796backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8642…c576backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under52c92.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2714753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.096347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee6…f017backed Under54c89.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.264774.5%35 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over50c89.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5821046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Under55c89.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5153250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over48c86.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6612735.4%45 W · 82 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over55c85.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over46c78.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under24c76.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under54c72.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over49c70.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6826147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under24c67.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over47c64.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.453023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Under74c61.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.022259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over46c52.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1916842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over65c51.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9415663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Over47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2112548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf377…0f0ebacked Over49c49.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Under26c47.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.363179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over60c45.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3611761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c34…b7adbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.579150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd3…1e24backed Over53c35.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under50c34.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0814052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under60c31.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.831,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d1…8617backed Under50c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.582744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over49c29.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b3…f8d4backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.542040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6dd…3ab9backed Under54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over51c25.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under51c25.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5955444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over42c23.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0713153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over59c23.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8171752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1b…aa71backed Over55c19.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93265.6%21 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e9…1aeabacked Over79c18.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.