TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c13,647$9,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813a…b67fbacked Over52c11,100$5,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,811.441040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Over48c11,041$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.737945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c10,990$5,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.21,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over37c10,094$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.792040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over7c8,698$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.012,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over53c8,513$4,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.984456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under48c7,485$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.2766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Over2c5,420$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.761216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under47c5,137$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.4421549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c4,118$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.3137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c3,471$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,350$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.144,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c3,331$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over14c3,227$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over47c3,201$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.5219937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c2,910$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.892,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Over71c2,499$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.378953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x705d…b380backed Over77c2,482$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.18666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under52c2,210$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under29c2,146$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.3395651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over71c2,066$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.26764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c1,675$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.3962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.351,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over11c1,476$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3817042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c1,448$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.972,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c1,396$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,375$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over48c1,369$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3612147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over53c1,338$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.274546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over35c1,272$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.166817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c1,229$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c1,126$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.712,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6289…7175backed Over7c1,040$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9917740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Under51c991.52$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.258652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under50c940.94$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.478348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under59c898.79$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.981,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Over6c879.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5611864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under61c841.03$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe458…7abebacked Under51c820.58$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over77c640.03$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1911873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over55c588.2$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0113148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over45c577$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4913835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under22c538.94$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.510239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec8…2f23backed Over49c534.79$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c84…8778backed Under52c529.21$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1442…7c40backed Under52c522.95$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b0…a1f6backed Over49c512.3$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Under47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9913751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Over53c495.69$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.722948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under48c491.18$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Under51c444.9$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2186150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8820552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under47c388.71$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.028350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under46c370.01$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.817643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c353$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over52c346.51$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.914052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over66c333.22$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.733231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over9c314.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under52c308.84$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2416249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under52c308.84$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2420040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under48c302.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4314145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over36c299.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9927435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7710854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c272.62$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.191,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over48c263.69$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.577647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over39c258.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under52c249.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.767350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under51c247.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2810750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over53c246.84$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8222048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Under59c206.85$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.241136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c203.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.931,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9520247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaad…5ee0backed Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.351,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6bf…225dbacked Under53c198.27$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under48c196.8$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.346845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd6…2e0bbacked Under48c193.66$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc9…625cbacked Under52c189.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb6…8fdebacked Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.653060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a20…709abacked Over53c185.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e02…edf2backed Over49c182.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under63c180.43$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under62c166.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8523445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c166.37$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d6…8a44backed Over60c159.39$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.162638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over10c159.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under48c158.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6222351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked Over8c154.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under59c141$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under53c134$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2426639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under29c132.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7627138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Over53c128.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0325666.8%171 W · 85 L+16.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c120.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.241,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.