MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf109a0e7478f4746ce0c8acaa1455893bc426b1c07028fa136562dac7f5203e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 77,280$49,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,572.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 57,800$24,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,182.13 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 24,648$11,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,217.84 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 20,000$8,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,897.18 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 18,757$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,057.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Colorado Rockies | 5c | 17,087$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.71 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 16,335$9,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534.02 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 15,374$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 12,880$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.7 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 12,453$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.59 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 10,077$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 9,349$6,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.57 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 9,261$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.67 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 8,107$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.65 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 8,105$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.35 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 7,326$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.36 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 7,312$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies | 22c | 6,018$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 5,737$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 4,444$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.92 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 3,518$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.38 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 3,347$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 2,809$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.75 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,693$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,692$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.37 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 2,657$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.4 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 2,652$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.1 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,583$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.49 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 2,433$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.49 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 2,325$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.51 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 2,319$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.27 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 2,221$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Colorado Rockies | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 1,964$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.5 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 1,853$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.19 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 1,777$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.15 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,659$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.28 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,641$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.79 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,570$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.53 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 1,536$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.45 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 1,493$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.41 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Colorado Rockies | 3c | 1,402$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,331$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.28 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,301$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.27 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 1,234$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.52 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,202$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.88 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 1,167$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.86 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 1,140$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 1,103$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 1,091$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 1,063$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 1,025$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.87 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 999.96$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.98 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 999.95$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 962.3$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Miami Marlins | 75c | 932.14$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.03 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 911.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.65 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 840.14$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 823.54$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 808.13$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Colorado Rockies | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Colorado Rockies | 3c | 737.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 726.54$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.77 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 712.11$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 668.3$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.82 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 570$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.57 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 543.52$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 516.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Colorado Rockies | 4c | 514.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 501.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 501.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…af78backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.60per pick | 20cpaid | +338.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 492.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 468.02$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 442.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 436.91$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Colorado Rockies | 4c | 415.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 413.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 395.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Colorado Rockies | 4c | 385.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 371.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 356.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 329.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…6706backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 321.36$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.