MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c001657761d5dce1e0a81705a7381b247c31aa2b0d8e9c64de314da5968952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 262,462$129,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,873.81 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 73,793$37,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,420.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 37,817$18,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,834.01 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 23,799$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 48c | 18,985$9,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,875.32 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 15,036$7,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,518.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 11,069$5,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,533.11 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 52c | 10,450$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 8,877$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 6,787$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.98 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 5,776$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.1 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 50c | 5,475$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.68 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 4,492$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.34 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Over | 50c | 2,473$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 2,138$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.14 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 2,125$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 50c | 1,972$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.9 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 1,456$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 1,208$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.88 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 1,147$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.27 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 62c | 1,134$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.99 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 1,074$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.35 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 769$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.81 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 635.68$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 620.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 600$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 64c | 526.2$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 459$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 451.48$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.21 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 421.17$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 52c | 412.05$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.21 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 51c | 394.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 49c | 373.63$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.55 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 364.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.11 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 51c | 336.11$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 52c | 333.82$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 52c | 307.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 293$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 51c | 292.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 51c | 288.12$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 184.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 79c | 167.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 49c | 163.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 50c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 51c | 124$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 51c | 123.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 51c | 116.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 25c | 105.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 95.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 55c | 93.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 91.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 51c | 87.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 87.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 50c | 84.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 82.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 71c | 70.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 64c | 70.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…cf7cbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 53c | 69.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 21c | 65.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over | 51c | 65.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 197 | 59.9%118 W · 79 L | +21.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 64.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 49c | 62.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 51c | 62.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 43c | 57.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 56.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Over | 71c | 53.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 54c | 51.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Over | 51c | 41.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…e407backed Over | 51c | 41.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.