MLB · resolved market
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7ac6f707814f5ca30a9c2586c36c49a1bae6138b050137abdc0a4987b37a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 37,872$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 11,146$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796.26 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 10,946$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 8,940$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 4,289$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,994$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 3,657$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.54 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,489$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 3,145$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,526$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.84 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 1,568$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.34 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 1,345$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.15 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,157$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 1,120$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Colorado Rockies | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.92 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 743.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.18 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 600$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 537.42$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 456.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 439$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Colorado Rockies | 18c | 334$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 227.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 218.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 216.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 203.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 182.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 180.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 179.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 146.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 141$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 114.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 111.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 110.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…d88abacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 102.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 98.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 96.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 93.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 91.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 88.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 87.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 85.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 85.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 84.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 77.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 73.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 50.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 41.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 37.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 35.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 35.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 35.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…1303backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 58c | 26.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 23.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.