Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3762f2c3d10c82ac73a2309e559f7f0b8c36ef77f42d82639afa977d5aec85b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 4,626$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 4,463$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.88 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 19c | 762.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 19c | 690.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 80c | 276.25$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 19c | 259.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 18c | 258$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Over | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 19c | 108.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…43b4backed Over | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 20c | 62.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…a694backed Under | 20c | 58.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 19c | 52.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.