Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d2561ecf14f33a231aeef63239c38a2e878e09580779a2aa80692e5bf17bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 3,532$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 38c | 1,991$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.55 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2a8cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,454$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,162$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,052$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.76 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 63c | 958.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.52 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 38c | 759.93$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…0ce2backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 60c | 442.56$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 38c | 425.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 391.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 338.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 320.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 62c | 314.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 62c | 303$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 62c | 272.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 257.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 38c | 257$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 249.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…1959backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 10c | 157.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 73c | 121.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a527backed Yes | 62c | 109.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 68c | 103.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…6dfcbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 32c | 95.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 64c | 82.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 37c | 76.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 58.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…d295backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…da71backed Yes | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…a7c2backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 61c | 49.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Yes | 61c | 48.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…1b16backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 62c | 48.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 39c | 47.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 38c | 47.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…2766backed Yes | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked No | 39c | 43.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Yes | 60c | 41.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 41.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…abd9backed Yes | 62c | 38.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…31c0backed Yes | 62c | 31.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9089…aafebacked Yes | 62c | 28.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 60c | 24.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 53c | 24.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 64c | 22.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…9fbcbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 63c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.