Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7120789a919b67e47626bd195101be14f701da900956e6384dd01cdbbcda4f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United FCof Newcastle United FC, Brighton & Hove Albion FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.98 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Newcastle United FC | 58c | 13,000$7,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Newcastle United FC | 59c | 5,907$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.07 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Newcastle United FC | 60c | 738.83$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.53 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Newcastle United FC | 60c | 261$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 41c | 219.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Newcastle United FC | 21c | 214.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Newcastle United FC | 60c | 194.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 59c | 178$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Newcastle United FC | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 36c | 139$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 68c | 107.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Newcastle United FC | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Newcastle United FC | 16c | 95.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 70c | 95.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 40c | 93.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed Newcastle United FC | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Newcastle United FC | 19c | 78.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Newcastle United FC | 20c | 74.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Newcastle United FC | 60c | 68.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Newcastle United FC | 63c | 63.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Newcastle United FC | 42c | 49.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 40c | 48.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Newcastle United FC | 25c | 45.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Newcastle United FC | 60c | 35.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Newcastle United FC | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Newcastle United FC | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Newcastle United FC | 59c | 32.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Newcastle United FC | 61c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 78c | 31.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Newcastle United FC | 60c | 19.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Newcastle United FC | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.