TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over56c53,528$30,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,352.537753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under43c38,987$16,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,759.7913353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7505145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over57c4,358$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.041172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9637…3050backed Over57c1,409$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over77c1,370$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8127955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under42c1,345$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.3141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c1,323$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.946,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,313$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.755751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c1,233$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.991,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c1,129$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.774,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4304841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under43c999.85$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.076142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over57c603.34$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4726651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under44c547.25$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.526333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.458851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under26c497$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.971020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under44c438.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.115658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c416.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.942,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under43c358$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.948259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14712642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8314949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over58c322.41$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.412347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under17c276.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over72c262.55$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.961,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over58c257.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.089957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c257.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under42c247.05$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8210147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under29c195.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6316233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over58c189.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.664242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under6c177.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.661225%3 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+215.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415964.4%38 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under25c168$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7411753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c159.47$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c148$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.191,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c147.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0833551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under43c129.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.555358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under36c114.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4627948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27d…6dfcbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over55c90.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5321254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed Over57c88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.843246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a5…2563backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.214447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over74c84.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.123148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over58c81.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.032347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0710550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3417755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over58c58.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.622653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under44c55.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.342454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over69c52.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.979355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over58c50.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.277745.5%35 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd10b…3c7ebacked Over58c46.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under26c46.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under43c44.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.011172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8610971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.114431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.13953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…0778backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under43c37.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9222057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over55c35.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.154360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over57c35.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.314353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0510257.8%59 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4822356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4816946.2%78 W · 91 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.489262%57 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x619e…0149backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over58c34.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under42c33.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0821250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.627846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.922645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over70c27.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8612945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Over58c25.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under42c23.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6e…2175backed Over58c23.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff37…db48backed Over57c21.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.414860.1%89 W · 59 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over73c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.862962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over73c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8618851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over68c15.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.