Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4911c1efd6ec00cff09788c5c2eed40527678017972c0ce48fda6645aaefe95

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,733 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xec59…bb35backed Over	32c	3,800$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,598.97	90	55.6%50 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Under	66c	3,026$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	40c	2,513$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,513.04	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	2,113$1,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.08	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	45c	2,004$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.31	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over	54c	1,800$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	54c	970$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.8	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	35c	794.98$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.73	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	34c	643.6$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.88	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	39c	600$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	57c	587.75$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.66	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over	52c	550$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	529$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.92	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	21c	499.99$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.99	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	79c	489.92$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.04	316	48.7%154 W · 162 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	54c	381.91$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.96	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under	52c	365.38$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	30c	300$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	65c	300$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.8	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over	39c	299.18$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	35c	285.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.7	532	40%213 W · 319 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	33c	275.96$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.96	1,179	50%590 W · 589 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under	66c	200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	50c	182.4$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.46	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under	59c	169.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over	32c	158.95$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.35	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6396…3e5cbacked Under	58c	151.72$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	41c	149.83$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.4	224	43.8%98 W · 126 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	34c	147$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.5	1,589	53.3%847 W · 742 L	+39.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…3050backed Over	63c	126.98$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.98	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over	34c	122.96$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.15	173	37.6%65 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Over	61c	119.98$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.79	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	35c	107.24$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.17	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	56	5.4%3 W · 53 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+150.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under	68c	100$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	122	50%61 W · 61 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	34c	95$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.37	329	51.4%169 W · 160 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	46c	86.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.24	203	36.9%75 W · 128 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	34c	73.66$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.61	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over	42c	69.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.39	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	36c	69.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.44	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	50c	65$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	552	54.5%301 W · 251 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	407	42%171 W · 236 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	78c	64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	58c	63.79$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	52c	63.15$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over	49c	60.66$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.66	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	34c	60.4$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.86	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.61	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	65c	60$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	70c	57.49$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	51c	56.86$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	177	55.9%99 W · 78 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	65c	45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Under	66c	45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under	30c	43.15$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Over	54c	42.59$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.59	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over	61c	40.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.89	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Under	63c	40$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Over	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	62c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under	64c	39.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	64c	39.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	66c	38.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over	58c	38.44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.13	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	58c	38.07$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.99	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under	66c	35.59$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.49	112	65.2%73 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	32c	33.94$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.15	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	64c	33.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under	66c	31.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over	55c	31.11$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.11	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under	48c	29.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	204	25%51 W · 153 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under	66c	27.78$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under	64c	24.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	63c	20.63$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.63	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	68c	19.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	1,161	57.4%666 W · 495 L	+40.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under	63c	19.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd894…83aabacked Under	66c	18.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event