TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under59c16,171$9,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,629.9455053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over41c11,957$4,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,858.984,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under60c11,477$6,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,628.581,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over40c8,246$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.9811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over41c2,996$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.5677951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c2,511$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.189,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under59c1,694$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.541,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c1,438$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.48,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c1,400$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.896,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under60c1,400$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over18c1,255$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Over41c1,207$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under60c1,202$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.661,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over40c1,189$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.779147.3%43 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Over41c1,174$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5411748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Over40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over41c1,050$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.573748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over40c1,021$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.713,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-71.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c996.79$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.944,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over40c973.53$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4165549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over40c877.3$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9219546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under60c739.99$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.1789053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over41c623.71$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7261450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under67c599.26$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.272,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over40c525$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c397.8$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.121,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c362.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.526,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c350.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under59c344$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.342,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe355…a1f9backed Under76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over41c301.07$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4440341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8174…e416backed Over41c233.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over40c219$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.61,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under60c217.8$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1254152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x792d…7363backed Over40c188.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6426845.9%123 W · 145 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Over41c140.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5411555.7%64 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…0d18backed Over40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5650%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over39c136.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.16645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under60c133.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3217250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over40c129.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.246557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over41c109.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4278454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over41c90.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2567444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b7…ad02backed Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under60c81.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.458649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x375d…075dbacked Over14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578e…eae1backed Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under60c69.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6451555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under66c68.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1815857.6%91 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under60c65.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2552449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under60c65.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0545246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Over41c60.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.915650%78 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c60.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.282,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over40c59.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.171,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over39c58.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under60c54.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7940554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…988dbacked Over40c52.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.94911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over35c50.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8144737.4%167 W · 280 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.542355.6%235 W · 188 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed Under59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over41c47.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.567453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0be…96ecbacked Over41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over40c44.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over36c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under66c41.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.145,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under60c39.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7678155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over34c37.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d19…a694backed Over41c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6410735.5%38 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Over40c33.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.344953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7923455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270450.1%353 W · 351 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd37…b3a7backed Under61c27.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dee…8be9backed Under61c27.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over41c26.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under60c26.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6725256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Under60c26.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6711149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…15a2backed Under60c26.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under60c20.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2526753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Under67c15.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.029753.6%52 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.