MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99f5fbbb198f66e7007ba6d6c65fdf7acdeed6cc080f6c37228496e43a690f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 6,946$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.9 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 34c | 5,434$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 66c | 4,554$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 4,245$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 3,704$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 3c | 2,678$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 2,595$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 1,970$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 72c | 1,553$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 1,380$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 51c | 1,269$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.29 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 61c | 704.05$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 686.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 632.95$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 65c | 631.37$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.23 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Under | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 50c | 449.8$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 36c | 441.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 29c | 349.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 34c | 291.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 65c | 275.48$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 244$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 242$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 219.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Over | 70c | 192.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 47c | 170.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 48c | 129$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 121.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 49c | 111.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 102.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 34c | 91.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 45c | 88.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 54c | 81.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 45c | 62.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…925dbacked Under | 49c | 59.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 28c | 58.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 34c | 58.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Under | 54c | 55.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 41c | 53.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 35c | 52.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7572backed Under | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 35c | 43.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 40c | 37.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 71c | 36.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 71c | 35.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 58c | 35.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 55c | 33.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 59c | 30.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 67c | 29.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…8529backed Over | 51c | 29.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf324…fd84backed Under | 39c | 27.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 50c | 26.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 71c | 26.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 71c | 24.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 54c | 23.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…f09abacked Over | 50c | 22.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Under | 47c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Over | 72c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.