TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$556,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Over48c208,332$99,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,999.3613561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Under52c107,084$55,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,400.116662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,999.955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c75,685$38,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,187.994,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over49c41,206$20,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,190.9511849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over49c35,639$17,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,463.077550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c32,893$15,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,713.6311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c18,172$8,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,872.431,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c15,710$8,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,540.851,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over48c14,281$6,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,911.23,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over49c14,049$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,880.1612640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,76011952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c10,000$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.92,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over49c6,916$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.8744851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over39c6,000$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.7424946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under51c5,357$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.8550153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over49c5,314$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59549158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c5,175$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.671,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.991,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Under53c4,010$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.88353%44 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under47c3,018$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.5186653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c3,006$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.7510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over35c2,861$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.5920648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c2,400$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.256,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over30c2,361$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.321,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under54c2,223$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.51656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under52c1,987$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.548943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c1,888$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over30c1,843$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.252,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over36c1,820$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.068,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c1,800$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87970744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,735$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.015,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over49c1,411$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.943,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c1,410$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.311,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over49c1,402$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.9319248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over40c1,288$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3799624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over50c1,211$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.3732857.9%190 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c1,201$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.978,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c1,136$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.039,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over49c1,101$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.2928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4809655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under51c975.32$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.489053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c848.13$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.31,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over44c739.95$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.732,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over23c733$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c714$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.861,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c685.94$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.372,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over48c679.91$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.638353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over55c640.98$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.546048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Under51c578.96$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.695747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c572$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.564,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over53c570$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.126948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24021653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c485.05$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2254152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.771,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over35c425.84$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8297050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under72c333.08$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.052360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over33c297.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0773949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over33c292.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.421,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.525249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d1…8d0ebacked Over49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4559…1c26backed Under51c204$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.962045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012061.7%74 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988035%28 W · 52 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under52c186$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.287758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over54c183.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under52c180.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4258649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over55c179.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7719752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c165.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.091,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.446557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under52c159$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3251555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c0…b32fbacked Over48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Over53c151$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.036445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over51c146.23$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.542550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c145.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0445246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over28c140.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.625,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under51c139.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.51,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under72c136.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.46248.4%30 W · 32 L-15.4wins-0.25per pick73cpaid-33.7%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Under53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.087846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f0…aeddbacked Under46c115.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under52c114.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0240554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Over15c113.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Over50c112.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.053046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under57c111.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.251,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb6…160dbacked Over54c110.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4484651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ddc…b4f0backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4770154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.