MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c67a5002d6e63bfc2df2d80d2483c389d2a38b5e25ee26bb5108c7d7601769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 3,541$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.89 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 3,062$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 2,836$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.56 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 2,355$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,290$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 1,225$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 1,225$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,141$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 1,045$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 568.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 562.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 520$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 488.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 488.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 381.79$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 221$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 177$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 142.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 124.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 114.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 70.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 57.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 34.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…a3b6backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 26.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.