TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,817 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers45c4,350$1,951 inLost-$1,950.712,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Angels58c4,000$2,320 inWon+$1,679.9760350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels34c1,189$409 inWon+$780.354,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers66c823.05$543 inLost-$543.215,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels30c772.69$232 inWon+$541.053,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers67c376$252 inLost-$251.922,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers65c211.66$138 inLost-$137.582,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers62c185.44$114 inLost-$114.2711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Los Angeles Angels63c92.02$58 inWon+$34.057268.1%49 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Detroit Tigers65c60$39 inLost-$391,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Angels34c60$20 inWon+$39.668942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers45c58.03$26 inLost-$26.1112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Detroit Tigers21c54.76$11 inLost-$11.544737.4%167 W · 280 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels28c50$14 inWon+$361,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels78c44$35 inWon+$9.485,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers72c41.5$30 inLost-$29.7810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1074…a25dbacked Los Angeles Angels55c40$22 inWon+$183751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9947…925dbacked Detroit Tigers59c25.42$15 inLost-$152128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-55.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Detroit Tigers67c23$15 inLost-$15.4146854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers67c23$15 inLost-$15.4172154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.