MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e51cd086c30aff01a94f360ec06a2e1614c2edff248acd4bf17b76af47c104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8963…c780backed Under | 1c | 22,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +288.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 5,189$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 43c | 3,807$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.03 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 2,332$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.22 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 66c | 2,226$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.08 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 59c | 1,821$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.78 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Under | 61c | 1,611$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.49 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 35c | 1,279$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,096$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 1,090$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 36c | 852.3$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.55 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 50c | 599.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 59c | 590.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 65c | 503.85$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.57 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 65c | 497.22$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 58c | 430.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 50c | 338.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 337.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 45c | 273.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 41c | 234.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 215$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 40c | 195.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed Over | 59c | 183.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 157.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 153.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 40c | 105.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 88.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 39c | 84.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 43c | 82.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 21c | 68.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 43c | 66.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 43c | 61.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 50c | 60.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…2d8dbacked Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 19c | 54.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…925dbacked Under | 59c | 49.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 57c | 40.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 57c | 40.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 38c | 38.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…4e6dbacked Under | 43c | 38.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 48c | 32.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 43c | 24.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 61c | 22.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Over | 50c | 21.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Under | 58c | 17.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.