MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0630dcec0b86a82d26c3d901a5c49f1e8491a5ddee9926c9d577ec7bfe05791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8963…c780backed Detroit Tigers | 4c | 6,990$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.14 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +288.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 3,771$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.2 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 2,662$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.68 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,919$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.33 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 12c | 1,106$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.35 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 923.27$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.54 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 761.2$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 642.69$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 598.06$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 555.03$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 509.6$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.89 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 396$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 395$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 386.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 381$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 233.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 187.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be3…1a5bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 185.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 179.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 164.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 128.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 106.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 87.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 80.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 50.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…925dbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 45.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 44.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 43.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 35.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 33.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…f09abacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 31.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 30.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 30.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 19.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 18.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 15.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.