MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1453a51e72d02a8f9018ad60e3dc60b35194bd509a95a133b45ba18d10401e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 13,161$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160.71 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 6,721$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.75 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 2,161$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.37 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,533$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.98 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 1,523$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.02 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 1,477$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.44 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 954$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.5 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 935.37$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.78 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 931.51$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.72 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 923.28$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.7 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 779$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.49 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 680.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.9 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 617.38$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.04 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 542.86$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.86 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 504.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.35 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 440$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 400$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 326.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.07 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 287.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 222.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 147.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 108$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 105.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 101$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…1bc0backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 97.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 80.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 73.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 66.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 61.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 58.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 56.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 49.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…a694backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 38.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 32.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 32.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 31.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 30.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 30.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 28.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 26.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 20.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.