Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4155ae93ebae973c3d598f270e02d8006915f550e862e32c6c0fc8cfe5c551ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 62c | 48,330$29,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,516.79 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 56c | 21,115$11,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,293.1 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 38c | 15,490$5,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.2 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 47c | 11,419$5,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,407.7 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 55c | 9,856$5,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.41 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 7,158$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.35 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 41c | 6,603$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.17 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 19c | 5,898$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.06 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 41c | 5,298$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.57 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 5,144$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.6 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.34 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 4,336$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.7 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 4,155$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.26 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 53c | 3,807$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 46c | 3,070$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 54c | 3,033$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 2,571$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.95 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 38c | 2,375$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.52 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 41c | 2,288$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.6 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 55c | 2,184$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 68c | 2,133$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.79 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 29c | 2,058$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.72 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 2,019$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.47 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 32c | 1,823$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 49c | 1,719$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 1,648$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.63 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 33c | 1,248$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 32c | 1,176$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 69c | 1,155$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.95 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 31c | 1,127$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.71 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 78c | 1,087$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 43c | 1,085$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.35 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 1,076$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.43 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 53c | 999.36$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 66c | 993.99$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 43c | 983.97$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.09 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 38c | 954$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 54c | 926.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.57 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 47c | 880.15$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 2c | 820.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 47c | 818.54$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 35c | 753.16$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.16 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 57c | 720.78$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 45c | 707.84$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.09 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 54c | 662.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.97 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 658.04$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.07 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 23c | 618.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 47c | 592$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 48c | 579.32$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 40c | 571.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 53c | 568.86$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.34 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 54c | 565.1$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 13c | 540$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 55c | 508.95$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 38c | 486$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed No | 13c | 453.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 452.32$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 46c | 452.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 28c | 432$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 49c | 384.16$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.02 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 359.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 39c | 348.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…7680backed Yes | 43c | 337.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 12c | 326.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 45c | 314$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 312$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 49c | 306.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 33c | 306$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 43c | 299.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 33c | 290.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 48c | 289.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 279.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 61c | 265.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 254.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 43c | 244.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 42c | 240.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 32c | 239$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 232.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 66c | 217.61$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 41c | 212.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…0a11backed No | 61c | 206.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 203.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 203.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.