Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72869dfc51e5bf9792eb8afb8bf3fc7442a2491ee37cf5295c0dafeb166cfe8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 31c | 12,347$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.61 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 11,586$8,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.47 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 4,725$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.88 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 2,704$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.61 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 2,679$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.29 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 60c | 1,940$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 80c | 1,645$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.32 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 39c | 1,621$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.98 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 1,538$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.89 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 69c | 1,021$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.59 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 20c | 965$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 33c | 925$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 19c | 917.51$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 56c | 607.49$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 480.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 479.6$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 452.32$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 70c | 396.84$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 66c | 386.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 333.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.73 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 50c | 317.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 76c | 291.81$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 286.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 20c | 278.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 24c | 229.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 58c | 218.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 208.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 199.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 188.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 69c | 177.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 21c | 169.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 62c | 162.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 161.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 49c | 143.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…ca47backed Yes | 51c | 138.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 137.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 131.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 77c | 130.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 77c | 127.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 32c | 123.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 119.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 71c | 113.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 73c | 101.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 66c | 100.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 28c | 87.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 30c | 86.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 83.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 66c | 75.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 69c | 68.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 42c | 66.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 61c | 63.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 53c | 62.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 19c | 59.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 55.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 51.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 50.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 32c | 49.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 69c | 43.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed No | 36c | 43.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 69c | 35.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 33.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 26.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 25.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 69c | 18.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 69c | 18.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.