Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7057c78d9e6f2ecc7ca6b00c2e7779d7e24f8fe7a6828711be1b7756fae1c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 41c | 14,464$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,926.03 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 12,233$7,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.04 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 40c | 11,470$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,861.89 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 9,942$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.92 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 11c | 9,100$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 6,520$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.57 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 5,086$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.81 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked No | 71c | 4,866$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 21c | 4,201$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.94 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 14c | 3,815$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 17c | 3,425$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.81 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,647$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.56 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 2,630$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.2 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 2,473$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.6 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 2,119$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 1,833$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.98 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 20c | 1,634$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,623$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.92 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked No | 66c | 1,320$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed No | 63c | 1,318$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 1,301$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.34 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,266$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 42c | 1,192$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 1,187$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.4 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 17c | 1,181$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 24c | 988$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 20c | 858.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 670.62$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 77c | 652.31$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 649.8$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 635.98$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.01 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 42c | 601.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…0a11backed Yes | 20c | 595.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 78c | 578.73$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 528.65$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 503.33$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 485.69$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 484.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 5c | 481.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 64c | 467.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 434.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 53c | 329.19$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 31c | 321.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 314.73$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 77c | 278.93$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 37c | 254.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 80c | 249.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 80c | 249.04$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 24c | 242.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 234.56$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 16c | 227$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 11c | 226.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 13c | 214.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…b78ebacked Yes | 13c | 187.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 66c | 161.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…7a07backed Yes | 20c | 138.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 63c | 128$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Yes | 16c | 125.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 80c | 124.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 80c | 124.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 80c | 124.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 80c | 124.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 26c | 120.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 35c | 113.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 52c | 110.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked No | 43c | 109.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 24c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 57c | 102.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 100.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbd…0438backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6143…938fbacked Yes | 17c | 86.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 80c | 67.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 24c | 64.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 24c | 62.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 57.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 64c | 55.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 37c | 50.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed No | 80c | 50.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.