Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb532d58c243ce52476d80c3a01a98235e63d7dc64c7d8a18f8c7ca5615908ff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 76c | 12,705$9,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.19 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 11,137$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.64 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 77c | 8,641$6,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 25c | 6,090$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 4,996$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.04 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 2,550$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.6 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 2,332$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.55 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…c9d5backed Yes | 2c | 2,208$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 1,990$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f4…d132backed Yes | 3c | 1,977$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Yes | 24c | 1,025$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 986$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.64 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 923.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…988fbacked No | 78c | 864.12$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 76c | 821.82$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 677.34$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…e85abacked Yes | 2c | 666.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 76c | 537$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 24c | 505$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 9c | 501.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 24c | 483.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 76c | 479.99$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 23c | 466.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 77c | 428.93$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 420.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 23c | 399.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437f…38f0backed Yes | 24c | 348.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 285.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 19c | 274$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 24c | 270.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 24c | 251.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 24c | 226.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…ee29backed No | 77c | 220.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 193.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 19c | 186.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…ba76backed No | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 76c | 158$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 149.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…1497backed Yes | 19c | 149.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 9c | 146.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 139.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 122.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 119.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 118.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 24c | 114.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 106.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 11c | 99.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 25c | 89.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 77c | 80.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Yes | 24c | 80.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 77.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 24c | 62.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 24c | 59.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…7656backed No | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 76c | 50.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 24c | 50.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 76c | 50.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…a694backed Yes | 24c | 48.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Yes | 24c | 42.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 77c | 40.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 78c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 78c | 27.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.