Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd18acb83ba85a67fd1d6c603230d1654530e75a098cdf171c1ddf59c8d0261a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 20c | 29,988$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 15c | 10,564$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.91 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 8,653$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.03 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 11c | 7,988$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.85 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 7,301$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.93 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 19c | 5,847$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.99 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 14c | 3,998$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 18c | 2,669$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.42 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 2,517$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.74 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Yes | 16c | 2,421$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 2,222$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 18c | 1,673$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.11 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,592$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,358$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…f42ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,306$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 12c | 1,140$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 1,101$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 14c | 1,016$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 802.22$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 700.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 653.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 18c | 534.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Yes | 19c | 499.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…b274backed Yes | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Yes | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 17c | 390.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 18c | 380.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Yes | 16c | 352.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Yes | 20c | 341.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 17c | 335.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 8c | 330.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 9c | 315.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea46…5d46backed Yes | 20c | 309.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 9c | 304.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 80c | 299.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 19c | 289$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 20c | 285.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…4768backed Yes | 16c | 261.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…7738backed Yes | 21c | 258.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a088backed Yes | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2c…71a9backed Yes | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…242cbacked Yes | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes | 16c | 237.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 10c | 236.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 17c | 234.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes | 10c | 228.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 10c | 227.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 13c | 223.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Yes | 11c | 213$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 9c | 204.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 203.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…700dbacked Yes | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 146.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 20c | 142.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5eb8backed Yes | 21c | 136.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 14c | 130.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…6410backed Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 19c | 123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf7…f9b6backed Yes | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c41…1268backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 13c | 117.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…2f95backed Yes | 12c | 106.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 13c | 102.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…d6f3backed Yes | 13c | 100.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 99.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…5dc8backed Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a94abacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 17c | 95.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 94.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…885cbacked Yes | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c6…1110backed Yes | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.